2013 NFL Week 17 Picks: Scottie vs. Mattyoshow

As the great Kevin McAllister once said, “This is it. Don’t get scared now.”  Matty has put on one of his patented late season runs and has closed a once sizable gap to only a 2 game defeciet.  Matty does have a 2 point lead in confidence points going into the final week of the season.  At this point I am playing not to lose.  What a terrible feeling that is!

Classic Scottie here. He has a big lead all season long, starts to get cocky and lazy, and before you know it I’m doing what I do and winning titles. Not much more to say. Let’s do it…

Scottie- 145-94-1  1259 Points

Matty- 143-96-1  1261 Points

Bills @ Patriots

Scottie: Patriots 13

Matty: Patriots 10

The Pats know what’s at stake here. They know that with a win and a Denver loss, the Pats can grab the top seed. They also know that if they slip up and lose, they could miss out on a first round bye. I expect Belichick to have his guys focused on the task at hand, and the Pats to win a close division game at home.

Panthers @ Falcons

Scottie: Panthers 14

Matty: Panthers 15

If Scottie wanted to actually win at something, he could have bet me before the season that the Panthers would win the NFC South and I would have taken that ten times out of ten. Nobody saw this coming, but now it’s on Ron Rivera and Cam Newton to keep the momentum rolling and make some noise in the playoffs.

Ravens @ Bengals

Scottie: Bengals

Matty: Ravens 1

I just can’t see the Ravens not being in the playoffs, and the Bengals are notorious for not showing up in big games.  Joe Flacco does just enough to earn a win and get the Ravens into the playoffs, while simultaneously ensuring that the Patriots retain at least the 2 seed.

Texans @ Titans

Scottie: Titans 12

Matty: Titans 11

Honestly, I have no confidence in either of these teams. The Titans are turnover prone under Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Texans are useless under Wade Phillips. Home team wins this one.

Jaguars @ Colts

Scottie: Colts 15

Matty: Colts 14

As I’ve mentioned a couple of times over the last couple of weeks, the Colts might be the worst 10-5 team that I’ve ever seen. They somehow beat the Chiefs last week, but then again the Chiefs aren’t anything to be worried about either. I just don’t think a team with no offense balance can be successful in the NFL. Colts win this one, but there season will end shortly.

Jets @ Dolphins

Scottie: Dolphins 11

Matty: Dolphins 9

Man, I hate Tannehill. All of you saw the true Ryan Tannehill last week. The terrible quarterback that I have been talking about for two years was on display last week. However, the Jets are dismal. Geno Smith is worse than Sanchez. The Jets just can’t get it right.

Lions @ Vikings

Scottie: Lions 6

Matty: Lions 7

The Lions were eliminated from playoff contention last week after a loss against the Giants. Classic Detroit. I expect Jim Schwartz to get canned after this season, so it’s only right that Detroit sends him off with a win. We all know Stafford just plays for stats anyways.

Redskins @ Giants

Scottie: Redskins 3

Matty: Giants 4

Is any team in the NFL more of a mess than the Washington Redskins? Well, maybe the Cowboys but even they were able to beat the Redskins last week. I think that the Giants players know they might be playing for coach Coughlin’s job, and that matters to them, while the Redskins players are probably hoping that Shanahan gets fired.

Browns @ Steelers

Scottie: Steelers 10

Matty: Steelers 8

The last I heard is that the Steelers had an outside shot of making the playoffs. That’s all you need to say in that locker room. The Browns are on the right track, but nobody gets in Mike Tomlin’s way!

Packers @ Bears

Scottie: Packers 5

The return of Aaron Rodgers makes this an easier selection.

Matty: Bears 2

I think that this game is going to turn into a shootout.  However, even though Aaron Rodgers has been in the Packers’ system for a long period of time, there has to be some amount of rust there.  The Bears got down big to the Eagles during last week’s game, so I expect them to come out of the gate with a purpose in this game and win a spot in the NFC playoffs.

Broncos @ Raiders

Scottie: Broncos 16

Matty: Broncos 16

The Broncos know that a win gets them the top seed in the AFC. The Raiders have no shot in this one.

Bucs @ Saints

Scottie: Saints 9

Matty: Saints 13

The Saints are nearly unbeatable at home. That’s another reason why they need to win this game and hope for a Carolina loss this weekend.

49ers @ Cardinals

Scottie: Cardinals 2

Matty: 49ers 3

The Cardinals defense is good, really good.  However, Carson Palmer is still their quarterback.  The 49ers have been hot lately, and will look to continue to build momentum heading into the playoffs.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals will experience a let down following a big win in Seattle and miss the playoffs after winning 10 games.

Chiefs @ Chargers

Scottie: Chargers 8

Matty: Chargers 5

The Chargers know what’s at stake on Sunday, while the Chiefs are locked into the 5 seed and really have nothing to play for.  Earlier this season, the Chargers beat KC 41-38 at home, and I expect a similar result in San Diego as the Chargers are battling for a playoff spot.

Rams @ Seahawks

Scottie: Seahawks 7

Matty: Seahawks 12

This is actually an important game for the Seahawks.  What once looked like the most dominant team in the NFC has shown some chinks in their armor after a loss last weekend against the Cardinals at home.  Seattle needs this win to head into the playoffs on a positive note, and to secure a first round bye.

Eagles @ Cowboys

Scottie: Eagles 1

Matty: Eagles 6

Tony Romo out hopefully means that the Cowboys will rely more on the run.  With that being said, the Eagles have actually been much better against the run as of late than most people think.  The Eagles have been arguably the best offensive team in the NFL since Nick Foles took over, and I expect that trend to continue against a porous Dallas defense.

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2013 NFL Week 16 Picks: Scottie vs. Mattyoshow

Last Week:

-Scottie: 7-9, 81 CONFIDENCE POINTS

-Mattyoshow: 9-7, 78 CONFIDENCE POINTS

Overall:

-Scottie: 137-86-1, 1181 CONFIDENCE POINTS

-Mattyoshow: 132-91-1, 1176 CONFIDENCE POINTS

So there are two weeks left in the 2013 NFL season.  I find myself 5 games behind in the win/loss column, and 5 CONFIDENCE POINTS off of the lead.  I have to make some really big moves over the next couple of weeks to lock down my 3rd straight NFL Picks Title!  Let’s do it…

Additional Reminder: There are no Thursday night games this week.  Only Sunday and Monday games.

I just have to play it straight and the 2013 title is all mine!  No hero plays by me these next 2 weeks.

Dolphins @ Bills

Scottie: Dolphins 14

Mattyoshow: Dolphins 10

Every year when I think I have my head wrapped around the AFC East, shit hits the fan. The Dolphins pulled off a surprising win against the Patriots last week to stay alive in the playoff hunt, and I expect them to go into Buffalo this week with a purpose.

Saints @ Panthers

Scottie: Panthers 3

Mattyoshow: Panthers 1

All week I was leaning towards picking the Saints. New Orleans made the Panthers look like the 2012 version of themselves in the last matchup. Away from home, the Saints just aren’t the same team, whereas the Panthers have something to prove.

Vikings @ Bengals

Scottie: Bengals 9

Mattyoshow: Bengals 12

Just when I thought the AFC North was wrapped up, the Bengals go and lose to the Steelers and now everything is wide open again. The Ravens have life, and I think the Bengals respond to last week’s disappointing loss by taking out the Vikings at home.

Broncos @ Texans

Scottie: Broncos 15

Mattyoshow: Broncos 16

The Broncos haven’t really played like the best team in the AFC as of late, but let’s face it, they are.  The Texans are now in the Teddy Bridgewater/Derek Carr/Johnny Manziel sweepstakes, and the Broncos will take advantage of that.  I expect the game to be close for the opening quarter, but then the Broncos will take the game over.

Titans @ Jaguars

Scottie: Titans 10

Mattyoshow: Titans 9

The Tennessee Titans have been officially eliminated from playoff contention, and I expect them to play like it.  However, without MJD, the Jaguars really have no offensive weapons.  I think that the Titans win this one simply because they are the more talented team.

Colts @ Chiefs

Scottie: Chiefs 2

Mattyoshow: Chiefs 6

The Colts put a beating on the the lowly Texans last week, but they don’t look like serious contenders in the AFC.  Indy can’t run the ball, which will allow the ball-hawking Chiefs to sit back and force Andrew Luck into mistakes.  Meanwhile, the Chiefs are recapturing some of the momentum that they lost a few weeks back, and are beginning to again look like serious contenders in the AFC.

Cowboys @ Redskins

Scottie: Cowboys 8

Mattyoshow: Cowboys 5

The Cowboys can’t lose again…can they?

Browns @ Jets

Scottie: Browns 4

Mattyoshow: Browns 8

Man, the Cleveland Browns battle.  Over the past 2 weeks, they’ve taken the Patriots and the Bears to the final possession.  These guys get after it, and I really think they are moving in a good direction.  Watch out AFC North, Cleveland is coming.  Meanwhile, the Jets offense is completely useless, and their defense has been loving motivation as the losses keep piling up.

Buccaneers @ Rams

Scottie: Buccaneers 5

Mattyoshow: Rams 4

I don’t know if Scottie lives underneath some sort of rock, but I saw the Rams absolutely beat down the Saints last week.  Whereas the Bucs caught a beat down courtesy of the 49ers.  The Rams are a tough team, and that defense will be elite within 2 years.  Jeff Fisher > Greg Schiano.

Cardinals @ Seahawks

Scottie: Seahawks 13

Mattyoshow: Seahawks 14

The Seahawks don’t lose at home, even with a tough Cardinals team coming into town.

Giants @ Lions

Scottie: Lions 12

Mattyoshow: Lions 13

Tom Coughlin admitted last week that some of his guys aren’t playing their heart out on the field.  That tells me one thing, the Giants have given up.  Coughlin lost his team, and it’s going to be an interesting offseason in New York.

Patriots @ Ravens

Scottie: Ravens 1

Mattyoshow: Patriots 3

Pats play to the level of their opponents.  It’s been frustrating me for years.  Last week, the Dolphins were lined up for elimination, and the Patriots let them hang around long enough for it to bite them in the ass.  This week, they travel to Baltimore to face on of the hottest teams in the NFL.  I expect Tom Brady and the crew to be on point, however it all comes down to the defense.  Like I said last week, for the rest of the way, if the Pats defense gives up 24 or more points, they lose.  Less than 24, Pats win.

Raiders @ Chargers

Scottie: Chargers 11

Mattyoshow: Chargers 11

The Raiders, once looking like a promising young team under 2nd year coach Dennis Allen, have sputtered down the stretch.  Their defense surrendered 56 points against a decent offense in Kansas City last week.  I expect San Diego to follow suit and light up the Raiders secondary.

Steelers @ Packers

Scottie: Steelers 6

Mattyoshow: Steelers 2

This one hurts.  I really want the Packers to win.  They deserve it.  This team has been absolutely battling ever since Aaron Rodgers went down, and have managed to win two straight games under Matt Flynn.  Sadly, the Steelers offense has been very good lately, and I don’t think that the Packers can score enough points to keep up.

Bears @ Eagles

Scottie: Bears 7

Mattyoshow: Eagles 7

The Eagles made a major misstep last week in Minnesota, while the Bears were able to sneak out a win in Cleveland.  This one is going to be a complete shootout.  If you have any Eagles or Bears players on your fantasy team, they better be starting.  Philadelphia will have a really tough time slowing down Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey.  Meanwhile, the Bears have no answer for LeSean McCoy.  I think Philadelphia has enough defensively to slow down the Bears just a bit, and pull out the win.

Falcons @ 49ers

Scottie: 49ers  16

Mattyoshow: 49ers 15

No brainer here.  The Falcons are in the JaDaveon Clowney sweepstakes, and the 49ers will take advantage of their sloppy play.

2013 NFL Week 15 Picks: Scottie vs Mattyoshow

Last Week:

Scottie: 11-5, 98 CONFIDENCE POINTS

Mattyoshow: 11-5, 101 CONFIDENCE POINTS

Season:

Scottie: 130-77-1, 1100 CONFIDENCE POINTS

Mattyoshow: 123-84-1, 1098 CONFIDENCE POINTS

That sound you hear?  Oh, that’s just me running away with the 2013 title.

Chargers @ Broncos

Scottie: Broncos 10

The Broncos will be without Wes Welker in this one.  I am interested to see how Peyton Manning will do in freezing temperatures without his 1st down safety outlet.  The Broncos rushing attack has seemingly flown under the radar for the past month.  Knowshon Moreno and Montee Ball have run the ball effectively and been able to take some of the pressure off of Peyton.  Because of their rushing attack, I am taking the Broncos in this one.

Mattyoshow: Broncos 14

Yes, it will be cold.  Yes, the Chargers are fighting for their playoff lives.  Yes, Wes Welker won’t be playing.  But I just can’t see a scenario where the Broncos lose this one.  They have plenty of offensive weapons to make up for the loss of Welker.

Redskins @ Falcons

Scottie: Redskins 1

Every part of me wants Kirk Cousins to light up the Falcons on Sunday.  If that were to happen, can you imagine the quarterback controversy talk down in DC for the next 8 months? You know what? I am going with it.  DC needs an intriguing story line and right now there will be nothing better than Cousins vs. RG3-10 and Snyder vs. Shanahan.  The Falcons smell worse than the Johnston Landfill (home of the great MattyO) and there’s no reason why Cousins can’t beat the Falcons.

Mattyoshow: Falcons 2

I think that Kirk Cousins being named the starter for the Redskins is actually going to backfire on the team.  RG3 is their franchise quarterback, everyone knows that.  Now, he is getting the rest of the season off for his health?  What about the health of Alfred Morris?  Pierre Garcon? Brian Orakpo?  How come those guys aren’t getting the rest of the season off?  Sounds like a crock of crap if you ask me…

49ers @ Buccaneers

Scottie: 49ers 16

The 49ers are primed for a Super Bowl bid.  While most pundits have Seattle penned for New York in February, give me San Fran.  Kaepernick has to bust out at some point.  Overall he has had a miseable season, but I have a hunch he is poised to breakout and end the season on a high note.  Tampa has won 4 of their last 5.  I would say it is a surprise but it’s really not.  On paper, the Bucs have some of the best talent in the league.  They were just unable to put it together all year.  The 49ers D will haunt Mike Glennon and coast to a W.

Mattyoshow: 49ers 10

Maybe Scottie hasn’t been paying attention over the last few weeks, but the Bucs have been playing some good football.  Their defensive line is good enough to contain Kaepernick.  If they can control the impact that Frank Gore has on the game, the Bucs will keep this one close.  I don’t think that they will have enough offensively to win, however I’m not guaranteeing a 49ers win here.

Seahawks @ Giants

Scottie: Seahawks 11

The Giants did have a nice little run during the middle part of the season.  I admit I thought they were going to find themselves in the playoffs for awhile there.  Now they are just hoping for a rapid end to the season.  Russell Wilson was drafted by the Texas Rangers in baseball’s Rule 5 draft today.  I, for one, hopes he does play for the Rangers at some point.  I was not old enough to appreciate Deion Sanders and Bo Jackson being two sport stars at the professional level.  The Seahawks will rebound from a tough loss to the 49ers and clinch the #1 seed in the NFC.

Mattyoshow: Seahawks 15

The Seattle Seahawks aren’t the same team on the road, but they are certainly good enough to beat the New York Giants.  The G-Men are just looking to get this season over with, so I don’t imagine that they are going to play with much passion the rest of the way.

Eagles @ Vikings

Scottie: Eagles 15

It took a blizzard for Nick Foles to throw his first interception of the year last week.  The man has been one of the most, if not the most, efficient quarterback in the league since taking over for Michael Vick.  A win over the Vikings puts the Eagles in an outstanding position to win the NFC East.  The Eagles have won 5 in a row and it will be 6 when they steam roll the Vikings.  The Vikings may be with out Adrian Peterson and Toby Gerhart leaving them with zero offense to speak of.

Mattyoshow: Eagles 11

Adrian Peterson is banged up.  Toby Gerhart is dealing with a bum hamstring.  I think that the Vikings can keep this one relatively close by moving the ball through the air, but not being able to run the ball against a porous Eagles run defense will be their downfall in this one.

Patriots @ Dolphins

Scottie: Patriots 4

The Dolphins pose a fair test for the Patriots in their first game (again) without Rob Gronkowski.  I expect Shane Vereen to continue to dominate the stat line for the Patriots.  The Pats need to quit this come from behind nonsense. I want to see the Pats get an early lead and then run the bejesus out of the football.  Jason Campbell tuned up the medical infirmary known as the Pats defense last week.  If Tannehill does the same this week, I don’t see the Pats getting to the AFC Championship game.

Mattyoshow: Patriots 5

The Patriots had no deal winning that game last week.  The Browns outplayed New England in every facet of the game.  The lose of Rob Gronkowski shifts my focus back onto the defense.  The offense will no longer be able to carry the defense through games.  If the Pats give up less than 24 points, they win.  If they give up more than 24, they lose.  That’s what will happen the rest of the way.

Bills @ Jaguars

Scottie: Jaguars 5

I go from not picking the Jaguars all season to picking them two weeks in a row and with some confidence!  How did that happen?  The Bills were horrific last week getting trounced by the Bucs.  I am going to stick with the hot team in the biggest snoozer of the week.

Mattyoshow: Bills 1

It’s looking like Maurice Jones-Drew won’t be playing on Sunday.  The Bills are coming off a complete disaster last week against the Bucs.  I think that Buffalo rebounds and picks up a win on the road.

Texans @ Colts

Scottie: Colts 14

Man, the Texans are bad.  They have lost 11 in a row.  I am ashamed to admit in the beginning of the season I stated they would be in the AFC Championship.  My how times have changed. The Colts have been mediocre at best going 3-3 over their last 6 games.  Fortunately for the Colts, they get a lay up at home against the hapless Texans.  Case Keenum has done nothing to prove he should be a starting quarterback.  Teddy Bridgewater may be the future of Houston.  As for the Colts, they will win this week but I expect an early exit in the playoffs.  Losing Reggie Wayne has been one thing, but the real area of need for the Colts is their offensive line.  Wow, are they bad!   They need to do a better job of protecting their investment, Andrew Luck!

Mattyoshow: Colts 8

Scottie goes on and on about how bad the Texans have been lately, but the Colts haven’t beed much better.  A beat-up Cincinnati team smoked them last week.  Andrew Luck has no offensive weapons to work with.  The Colts run game seems to get worse on a weekly basis.  In Houston, I’m going with the Texans, however in Indy I have to go with the home team.

Bears @ Browns

Scottie: Bears 9

If I am the Bears, I let Jay Cutler walk in the off-season.  Josh McCown has proven to be a serviceable enough quarterback to lead the Bears.  Then again, I could play quarterback with receivers like Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, and a running back like Matt Forte.  Bears ownership should spend the money they will save by not signing Cutler on their defense.  If that were to happen, the Bears are a legitimate NFC contender.  Their defense has allowed a 100 yard rusher in 6 straight games.  Even though I love my Longhorn boys Chris Ogonbanaya and Fozzy Whitaker, they won’t rush for 100 against Chicago.  Plus, I will be in Chicago for the weekend, double win for the city right there!

Mattyoshow: Bears 9

The Cleveland Browns are one of the most surprising teams in the AFC.  Not record wise, but just watching them play you can see that there is some potential there.  Their offense looks pretty damn good when Josh Gordon is doing his thing.  With the addition of a good running back and some help on the offensive line, the Browns could compete for a playoff spot next year.  My issue in this game is that the Browns might be able to stop Brandon Marshall, but I can’t see them stopping Marshall, Jeffrey, and Forte.

Chiefs @ Raiders

Scottie: Chiefs 13

The Chiefs defense and special teams were spectacular again last week against the woeful Redskins.  Trust me, I know.  They are on my fantasy team.  The Raiders went with a quarterback by committee approach last week with McGloin and Pryor.  It simply did not work.  There is no consistency in Oakland.  From Darren McFadden, to Rashard Jennings, and now Marcel Reece the team has been unable to establish any continuity on the offensive side of the ball.  The Chiefs will roll over their division rival on Sunday.

Mattyoshow: Chiefs 13

Matt McGoin, Terrell Pryor, Rich Gannon…it doesn’t matter.  The Raiders are a mess.  They have no weapons for their quarterbacks to work with.  Denarrius Moore is there best receiver, and he sucks.  McFadden might be shutting it down for the season.  The Raiders are a mess once again.

Jets @ Panthers

Scottie: Panthers 12

The fact the Jets are still in the playoff hunt is absolutely unfathomable.  Geno smith can’t even get through the first quarter of games before being benched anymore.  I am grateful Cam and friends are going to rebound from their loss on Sunday night and knock the Jets out for the season, much like MattyO is done.

Mattyoshow: Panthers 16

The Jets playoff aspirations disappear (even though Kellen Winslow already thinks the Jets are out) when they head to Carolina this weekend.  The Panthers need to get back on track after a tough loss to the Saints last weekend.  Defensively, I expect the Panthers to absolutely wreak havoc against Geno Smith and the Jets.

Packers @ Cowboys

Scottie: Cowboys 5

Easy on the December Tony Romo criticism.  I watched the Dallas defense get shredded last week by the Bears.  Their defense is simply terrible.  Maybe Rob Ryan wasn’t the problem.  Monte Kiffin has no idea what’s going on.  Maybe DeMarcus Ware is extremely overrated.  This year the Dallas D kept the Cowboys out of the playoffs.  For once it was not Tony Romo.  All of these problems should not affect the outcome up in Lambeau this weekend.  Without Rodgers, I just can’t find it in me to pick Green Bay.

Mattyoshow: Cowboys 7

I actually kind of feel bad for the Packers.  They are fighting and battling with everything that they have to try and keep their playoff hopes alive.  With Aaron Rodgers, they are Super Bowl contenders, however Rodgers just can’t get that clavicle healthy enough to get back on the field.  The Cowboys try and keep pace in the NFC East race with a win at home.  Scottie, the Packers are on the road you idiot…the game isn’t in Lambeau.

Cardinals @ Titans

Scottie: Cardinals 6

The Cardinals have the best rushing defense in the NFL.  I will lay off Chris Johnson for once this week.  He received bad news as it is that he is likely to be cut at season’s end.  Tough break for the Honey Badger last weekend tearing his ACL and MCL.  I hope the kid has a successful comeback.  With a young core in Floyd and Ellington, a superstar in Larry Fitzgerald, the Arizona offense is a quarterback away from being a contender in the NFC.  Enter Jay Cutler?

Mattyoshow: Cardinals 4

This game might be the toughest pick of the week.  Scottie is right, the Cards have one of the best run defenses in the NFL, which means tough sledding for Chris Johnson.  However, the Titans have a very good secondary, which will make Carson Palmer’s life pretty difficult.  The Cards still have something to play for, while the Titans are just trying to survive with Ryan Fitzpatrick.

Saints @ Rams

Scottie: Saints 8

It amazes me how different the Saints are at home than they are on the road.  Last week they channeled their inner greatest show on turf against a stout Carolina defense.  Marques Colston came back from the dead right at the time I was eliminated from one of my fantasy leagues.  He earned a spot on my “I will never draft you again” board.  The Saints are on the road but indoors against the Rams.  I see the Saints marching to an easy victory.

Mattyoshow: Saints 12

The Saints are making a serious push at the top seed in the NFC.  They need a little help from the Seahawks, but they need to keep winning to at least give themselves a shot.  The Rams fight, but they just aren’t good enough to keep pace in this one.  However, the Rams will continue to build through the draft and will be major players in the NFC over the next several years.

Bengals @ Steelers

Scottie: Bengals 3

Some how, Some way, I finally correctly picked a Bengals win last week.  I am going to roll the dice and hope for two in a row.  Believe it or not, the Bengals are sneaky scary for me as a Patriots fan.  They have a damn good defense.  They can control the time of possession with The Law Firm and Gio Bernard.  Their only enemy is Andy Dalton who loves to turn the ball over.

Mattyoshow: Bengals 6

At 5-8 the Steelers haven’t been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, however it is pretty much a done deal in Pittsburgh.  Meanwhile, the Bengals and their inconsistencies have someone led to a 9-4 record, and Cincy has an outside shot at the top seed in the AFC.  Cincinnati keeps their momentum going in Pittsburgh.

Ravens @ Lions

Scottie: Lions 2

Both teams are scratching and clawing for a playoff spot.  I expect Suh and company will bottle up Ray Rice.  I don’t think Calvin Johnson will be stopped on national television in prime time.

Mattyoshow: Lions 3

The Detroit Lions have this amazing ability to shoot themselves in the foot at the end of every season.  Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens always seem to find a way to get into the playoffs and then make a run from there.  In 2013, I see the roles reversing, and the Lions drive to a playoff spot begins on Monday night!

From Austin to Providence: 12/2-12/9 Weekly Report

My brother and I send a weekly email in which we catch up, go over the week in sports, etc.  I thought it would be a good post to put on the blog as far as diversfying the content, which as of late has just been NFL picks.  My brother lives in Texas and doesn’t really get the full feel of the New England sports scene down there.  He has been disappointed with my lack of content on the site lately.  So here is to keeping the site alive and interesting.  For faithful readers dating back to the Mongoose days, this will be reminiscent of my “Mumbles” column, but with an added twist courtesy of my brother.

My brother’s opinions/statements are in regular font.  My responses are in italics.  Enjoy.  As always, any feedback is greatly appreciated!

1.  Gronk – Tough injury.  Clean play.  The DB said he was afraid to hit him high because of a fine.  Well, I am not sure if that is the thing you are thinking of during the game with a split second to decide on how to hit an opposing player.  Everyone hits Gronk low because hitting him high is a foolish attempt to bring him down.  I hope he recovers well.03982814.r

1) I honestly would not be surprised if Gronk never plays another down of football in his life.  At what point does he say enough is enough?  He was hurt in college often, too.  I find it funny he basically Danny Amendola when it comes to injuries but does not receive the same criticism.  They aren’t soft players, more fragile.  They suffer significant injuries more than the normal athlete.  There are some reports saying Gronk suffered a concussion as well as the knee injury.

2.  Knee injuries – ACL/MCL – I had the same injury (adding torn meniscus, I am willing to bet he has a meniscus tear and it will be corrected in the same surgical procedure), I was hit from the side vs. straight on.  It occurred 6 months ago and I can run, jump, swim and bike.  Here is my point:  I am 43.5 years old, do not have access to world class medical and training staff.  My job is not to be a professional athlete, it is not my only focus.  Under those circumstances (age, time, resources, medical staff), I can honestly say, I would have been able to rebound in 5 months.  For Gronk, in 5 months, that would be Apr/May, then he would have 60 more days for camp.  He can fully recover.  Psychologically, that is another matter.

2) TJ Ward is not at fault here.  That was a clean hit in today’s NFL.  I disagree with you in thinking he processed the thought to go for the knee in that split second.  Safeties and linebackers have been trained to go for the knee for the past few years in order to avoid the 15 yard penalty and subsequent fine.  Going for the knee is second nature, muscle memory, a learned behavior now.

3.  Yankees – So if ARod is not suspended, Yankees cannot afford Ellsbury, McCann, Beltran (or to keep Cano).  This further supports my conspiracy theory that the Yankees and MLB are in collusion to not be on the hook for the contract.  That is not to say that ARod did not use PEDs, it is just stating that he is being treated differently than any other player who has been caught to date.  Because of how his case has been treated, the largest and richest team can shop for free agents after missing the playoffs and the TV revenue that goes with it.  Hmmmm, suspicious maybe?arod-cigar1

3) I would love to see A Rod win his lawsuit.  More over, we, as fans, are appalled at some of these contracts.  I would love to see the owners open up their books and see what type of coin they bring in.  No business man would shell that kind of dough if he didn’t have 125% of said contract.  The numbers boggle my mind.

4.  Pats – Gronk loss is big, but the issue is really the injuries on defense and poor secondary.  They have given up a lot of points.

4) Gronk loss effectively ends the Pats season.  Thankfully all the guys on the offensive side of the ball have experience and can step up.  Edelman has been huge in his contract year this season.  Interesting to see what happens there.  Patriots need to start getting ahead early and then run the bejesus out of the ball and eat up time of possession.  Their best defense is keeping the other offense off the field.

5.  Angels – Was thinking the other day, does the Pujols and Hamilton contracts prohibit the Angels from re-signing Trout?  If Cano gets $240M, Trout is better.  I am sure the arbitration rules kick in somewhere, but I am not that familiar with the rules.

5) Trout is under Angels control for 4 more years.  He will get a 10 year 300 mil contract when he hits free agency. They  Bryce Harper will get a tad less than that.  Scary.  Trout’s money is beyond manageable for the next 4 years. 

6.  Bruins/Thornton – Do not follow hockey as much, but saw the Thornton thing.  Bad for Bruins organization and bad for NHL, they need to make some serious changes regarding fighting and “enforcers”.  It is becoming increasingly difficult to advocate unnecessary violence in pro sports.  Need to look at ejections more oftenost he will get is $15 mil a year in arbitration.Unknown

6) I am in no way supporting Shawn Thornton.  I do not condone what he did.  However, the whole issue could have been avoided if Orpik fought Thornton earlier in the game when Thornton wanted to drop the gloves.  Orpik has fought ONCE in the last 5 years and that was against Alexandre Burrows, a wuss in his own right.  Orpik goes around with these cheap shots and then doesn’t own up to what he did.  Pittsburgh seems to be the Candiens of the Continental United States in the NHL.  James Neal knees Marchand in the head on purpose and then doesn’t own up to it.  After the game Thornton took full responsibility for his actions.  He was damn near in tears and apologetic.  He will get a 10 game suspension for something that could have been avoided if Orpik sacked up earlier in the game.

7.  MMA – Then of course, you see MMA and wonder what all the fuss is about, they have no protective gear and 4-6 oz gloves.

7) Still not really into MMA.

8).  Auburn – If they win it all, they have a great season highlight DVD (Georgia, Alabama and Mizzou games)

8) The final play of the Auburn-Bama game is up there with Doug Flutie and “the band is on the field” in terms of greatest finishes in college football history.  Havent decided who I am rooting for in the national championship yet.  Texas should coast over Oregon since the Ducks lost Marriota for the season.  But they will probably get smashed.  When reading anything I predict, remember I told you and the Green’s the Texans would be in the AFC Championship this season. Grain of salt saying applys here.

9.  Roy Halladay – Announcing retirement, would have loved to have him in Boston during his prime when he was with Toronto.

9)  Halladay was a beast for sure. Last pitcher that routinely threw a minimum of 7 innings every start.  Often times he went complete.Don’t see starters get out of the sixth anymore. Surprised he hung em up.  Thought he would try for a rebound year.  Always strange seeing a guy you watched growing up retire.

10.  World Cup – Tough draw for USA with Germany and Portugal.  I have been watching some Premier League, still love the sport.  I am going to go out on a limb and say that this comment does not have any relevance for you.  🙂South Africa Spain US Confed Cup Soccer

10)  You are forgetting Ghana in that group.  Ghana has knocked the US out the last 2 World Cup’s.  It surely is the group of death.  To devil’s advocate, Portugal is overrated and never plays to their potential.  If they can beat one of the team’s and play the other two to a draw, the permutations would show they advance right?  Boom.  Bet you didn’t see that analysis coming.

11.  RGIII – The shine has kinda worn off, don’t you think?

11) Shanahan will get fired before I am done typing this email.  I feel for RG3 outside of Alfred Morris, he has no supporting cast.  Jordan Reed was good for 3 weeks and that was about it.  Pierre Garcon is a #3 maybe a #2 receiver in the NFL.  Can’t fault RG3, he can’t do it all himself.  I watched a few of his last games, and he hasnt thrown the ball down the field like he did before the injury.  I find that strange.  Until he gets some help, the Redskins will be 4-12 no matter who coaches them.

Peter Vescey follows me on Twitter @ScottieNTCF and you should, too.

2013 NFL Week 14 Picks: Scottie vs. Mattyoshow

Scottie thinks he has this season all wrapped up.  I’ll admit, I’m not experiencing the same level of success that I have become accustomed to.  However, I’m not ready to give up.  I made some progress last week, and look to build on that success in Week 14.  Watch out Scottie, Mattyoshow is coming!  Let’s do it…

Last Week: 

-Scottie: 11-5, 107 CONFIDENCE POINTS

-Mattyoshow: 13-3, 119 CONFIDENCE POINTS

Overall:

-Scottie: 119-72-1, 1002 CONFIDENCE POINTS

-Mattyoshow: 112-79-1, 997 CONFIDENCE POINTS

Texans @ Jaguars

Scottie: Jaguars 12

I can’t believe I am picking the Jacksonville Jaguars to win a game this season.  I also can’t believe a team I picked to be in the AFC Championship at the beginning of the season has lost 10 games in a row.  This game is more evidence Thursday night football (outside of Thanksgiving) is terrible.  I want to believe in Case Keenum.  I want Andre Johnson to go off for fantasy football purposes.  The problem is I have more faith in Chad Henne to win a football game that will hurt the Jaguars draft even further.

Matt: Jaguars 8

The Jacksonville Jaguars have surprisingly won three of their last four games, while the Houston Texans are in a downward spiral that is going to end with Gary Kubiak losing his job.  The Jags won this matchup 13-6 two weeks ago, so I’m sticking with the hotter team.

Browns @ Patriots

Scottie: Patriots 16

Trick shot quarterback Alex Tanney will most likely get the start for Cleveland on Sunday in a game the Patriots will win by 35.  After playing the Texans close last week, the Patriots will not let that happen against a weak Browns team.  I am most interested to see how the Pats defend Josh Gordon.  Ironically, Gordon was very much available early in the season via trade.  Now he is the focal point of the Browns offense and a top 5 receiver in the league.  Mr. Talib meet Mr. Gordon.

Matt: Patriots 14

The Cleveland Browns are staying quiet on who will quarterback their team this Sunday against the Pats.  It could be Weeden or it could be Campbell.  Well, in my mind it doesn’t matter.  The Pats need to work out the kinks of their 1st half offense, but I don’t see the Browns having enough offense to keep up.

Colts @ Bengals

Scottie: Bengals 2

Truth be told, I have no clue how to pick games the Bengals are involved in at all.  For the past 2 years Cincy has messed me up like no one’s business.  I am going to roll the dice here and pick them.  I am buying their defense against Andrew Luck, who hasn’t been the same since Reggie Wayne was hurt.  Trent Richardson has been a bust.  TY Hilton hasn’t lived up to my expectations.  This is an important game for both teams.  Give me the home team.

Matt: Colts 1

Similarly to how Scottie feels, I never know what the hell to expect out of the Cincinatti Bengals.  Some weeks they look like they are an elite AFC team.  Other weeks, they look like they don’t belong in the playoffs.  The Colts are desperate for a win, so I’m sticking with Indy here.

Falcons @ Packers

Scottie: Falcons 11

Even with reports that Aaron Rodgers was in pads at Thursday’s practice, I do not expect him to play again this season.  Matt Flynn was atrocious last week.  Green Bay fans had nothing to be thankful on Thanksgiving.  The Falcons have been playing better football as of late and Roddy White came out of the witness protection program last week.  The Packers are nothing without Rodgers.

Matt: Packers 3

Nobody seems to know what’s going to happen with Aaron Rodgers this week.  The last I’ve heard is that he hasn’t been cleared to play yet, so I am assuming that he’s going to miss another week.  With that being said, I think that the Packers can pull this one out.  Matt Ryan will struggle at Lambeau Field.  The Pack will get after Ryan all day long.  Eddy Lacy will run like a man, and the Pack will stay alive in the playoff hunt.

Raiders @ Jets

Scottie: Raiders 10

The Jets have been awful as of late.  How is Geno Smith still the starting quarterback?  Granted the alternatives do not offer much, either.  I am going with the OAK Dawgs for my office peeps here.  Ruff Ruff Ruff!

Matt: Jets 5

I just can’t see Matt McGloin winning a game in New York.  Darren McFadden is back.  Rashard Jennings looks like he may play as well.  But, the Jets are the best team in the league at stopping the run, which means McGloin will have to win this one for the Raiders.  I don’t see it.

Lions @ Eagles

Scottie: Eagles 8

The Eagles are winners of 4 in a row.  Nick Foles it the quarterback in Philly and there is no question about it.  Opposing teams are focusing on stopping LeSean McCoy and allowing Foles to beat them.  Until teams respect Foles, he will continue to pick defenses apart.  He has thrown 19 touchdowns and zero interceptions this season.  That is how you win football games.

Matt: Lions 7

The Detroit Lions defense really isn’t very good, however the Eagles’ defense might be worse.  I think that this game turns into an absolute shootout, leading to a final score of 38-35 or something in that vicinity.  The difference in this game will be the Lions’ ability to get to Nick Foles.

Dolphins @ Steelers

Scottie: Steelers 9

Since the Incognito fiasco broke, I have maintained my position in picking against the Dolphins the rest of the season.  I am set in my ways and will continue to pick against them.  The Dolphins have everything to lose in this game, namely a playoff spot.  I expect Tannehill to choke with that amount of pressure heaped on him.  I will be interested to see how Mike Wallace responds in his return to his old stomping grounds.

Matt: Steelers 10

I just can’t figure out the Miami Dolphins.  One week they look good, battle Carolina to the end of the regulation, beat the Bengals on overtime, etc.  The next week, they look like complete garbage and get beat by the Bucs.  Meanwhile, the Steelers were rolling until they stumbled in Baltimore on Thanksgiving.  I’m simply going with the home team here.

Bills @ Buccaneers

Scottie: Bills 3

CJ Spiller looked healthy for the first time all season last week.  When Spiller is healthy he is one of the most dynamic players in the NFL.  Spiller will run all over the Bucs on Sunday.  NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Kiko Alonso will also make Mike Glennon and Bobby Rainey’s life a living hell.  Johnny Lyden would appreciate this blurb about his otherwise hapless Bills.

Matt: Buccaneers 4

The Buccaneers got smoked by the Panthers last week after reeling off three straight wins.  Meanwhile, the Bills found a way to lose to the Falcons in overtime.  Similarly to my rationale for the previous game, I’m going with the home team.

Chiefs @ Redskins

Scottie: Chiefs 7

The Chiefs played a tightly contested game against the Broncos for the second time last season.  The Cheifs may not be as good as their 9-3 record says they are, but they also aren’t as bad as most think they are.  Their defense has been decimated by injuries which leads me to believe they aren’t the big threat to the AFC I thought they would be come playoff time.  Be that as it may, I have complete faith they can and will beat the Redskins.  I wouldn’t be too upset if RG3 and 9 decided to have a nice fantasy day, though.

Matt: Chiefs 15

The Redskins might be the most dysfunctional team in the entire league.  Worse than the Houston Texans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Jacksonville Jaguars.  Shanahan may be on his way out.  I despise RG3 and his cry-baby ways more and more every day.  Pierre Garcon can’t make a play when they need him too.  They only give Alfred Morris 15-20 carries a game and insist on getting the boy to Roy Helu.  I just don’t get it.  The Chiefs get back on track and RG3 gets hurt in this one (do I get extra points if I correctly predict an injury?).

Vikings @ Ravens

Scottie: Ravens 15

Don’t look now but the Ravens are in prime position to play their usual role of spoiler in the AFC playoffs.  The Vikings have no chance of winning in Baltimore.  The Ravens are a scary enough team to make noise in the AFC.

Matt: Ravens 13

The Vikings are a mess.  Adrian Peterson is talking about having thoughts of playing elsewhere.  Matt Cassel just isn’t the same quarterback anymore.  Meanwhile, like Scottie said, the Ravens are primed to create waves in the AFC playoff picture.

Titans @ Broncos

Scottie: Broncos 6

I am honestly going back and forth in this one.  My set in stone theory is Peyton Manning is Ryan Leaf in cold weather.  The only thing holding me back from picking the Titans, is in fact, the Titans themselves.  While Peyton can fall back on Knowshon Moreno to move the ball down field, the Titans do not have that luxury.  Chris Johnson is boom or bust and there is no inbetween.  Ryan Fitzpatrick is a serviceable quarterback at best.  Serviceable will not cut it for the Titans.

Matt: Broncos 16

Scottie isn’t sure about this one?  Are you serious Scottie?  The Titans have Ryan Fitzpatrick as their quarterback.  You don’t have to look any further.  Game…over!

Rams @ Cardinals

Scottie: Cardinals 14

The Cardinals find themselves fighting for their playoff lives on Sunday against the Rams.  Give me the team that has everything to play for at home.

Matt: Cardinals 12

After a slip-up last week in Philadelphia, the Cardinals are in need of a win to stay in playoff contention in the NFC.  Carson Palmer has been better lately, but the real engine to the Cardinals success is their defense.  I expect the Rams to have issues moving the ball in Arizona, and the Cards offense will do enough to win.

Giants @ Chargers

Scottie: Chargers 13

Many people don’t realize it but this game sort of has a rivalry feel to it.  Remember Eli whined his way out of San Diego and into New York in the 2003 draft.  There is nothing I hate more than someone who hasn’t done anything and already crying and bitching.  I expect a hostile crowd to rattle Eli. I detest Eli for all the reasons I detest Elway.

Matt: Chargers 9

Scottie, this is no rivalry.  The Giants suck.  The Chargers aren’t much better.  Rivers and Manning are both terribly overrated.  Home team wins.

Seahawks @ 49ers

Scottie: 49ers 1

Everyone who is anyone is busy pumping the tires of the Seattle Seahawks.  I get it.  They throttled the high powered Saints offense in Seattle on national television in prime time.  I always believed Seattle is a different team on the road than they are at home.  I believe Seattle is primed for a let down after their big win last week.  The 49ers are just the team that can handle the Seahawks.

Matt: Seahawks 11

I know that Seattle is a better team at home than they are on the road.  The Seahawks beat the Saints 34-7 last week.  That’s a 27 point differential.  I would say that the Saints and the 49ers are equivalent teams.  Therefore, does not playing in Seattle create a 27 point swing?  I don’t think so.  It’s simple math, folks.

Panthers @ Saints

Scottie: Saints 4

I orginally picked the Panthers in this one after seeing how Brees played against a good defense last week.  Then I realized the Saints were playing at home.  The Saints do not lose at home.  No matter the competition.

Matt: Saints 2

I think that Carolina presents a really tough matchup for the Saints.  They can get after the quarterback.  They are very efficient against the short passing game.  However, Carolina’s one weakness is against the deep pass, and that’s something that the Saints can attack.  Cam Newton will struggle against Rob Ryan’s complex defensive schemes, and Brees will win it at the end.

Cowboys @ Bears

Scottie: Cowboys 5

The Bears lost to the Vikings last week.  Yes, the Vikings.  The Cowboys are in a tight race with the Eagles for the NFC East crown.  I expect the Cowboys to handle the Bears on Monday night.

Matt: Cowboys 6

If Jay Cutler was back, I’m going with the Bears in this one.  However, Cutler has been ruled out for Monday night, which has me leaning towards going with the Cowboys.  The Cowboys have won 2 games in a row (granted, against the Giants and the Raiders), and need to keep winning to stay atop the NFC East.  I think Tony Romo continues his November success en route to another win.