2013 New England Patriots Roster Breakdown – May Edition

In this post, I’m going to take a look at the potential 53 man roster for the New England Patriots for the upcoming 2013 season.  Obviously, it is May so many things will change between now and the beginning of the season.  However, if the season were to start today, this is how I see the roster shaking out.  For each position, I will list the players in order from starter to backup (i.e. 1) starter, 2) backup, etc.).  Let’s do it…

QUARTERBACK: 2 (2)

1)    Tom Brady

2)    Ryan Mallett

Analysis: This one is a no brainer.  Brady is the man, and no one in the league could compete for his position.  The thing to watch at quarterback for the Pats this offseason is the  performance of Ryan Mallett.  While some believe Mallett was drafted to be groomed as Brady’s potential replacement, I think Mallett was brought in 1) Because they saw great value when they selected him in the 3rd round in 2011 and 2) They saw him as a potential trade chip for a higher draft pick than he was originally selected.  If Mallett performs this preseason, he could get dealt to a team that has a big need at QB.

RUNNING BACK: 4 (4)

1)    Stevan Ridley

2)    Shane Vereen

3)    LeGarrette Blount

4)    Leon Washington

Analysis: Ridley earned the starting spot after his performance throughout the 2012 season, however some late season fumbling issues forced the Pats to bring in some insurance at the running back position (Blount) to at least compete with Ridley for the top spot.  Shane Vereen will pick up where Danny Woodhead left off, and will produce at a higher level than Woodhead did.  Ridley’s biggest area of improvement needs to be in pass protection, where Woodhead excelled.  Leon Washington is kept on as a return specialist/emergency/change of pace back.  Blount beats out Brandon Bolden for a spot on the roster and will look to be used in short yardage and goal line situations.

WIDE RECEIVER: 6 (5)

1) Aaron Dobson [outside]

1) Josh Boyce [outside]

1) Danny Amendola [slot]

2) Julian Edelman

2) Donald Jones

3) Matthew Slater

Analysis: This is by far the toughest position to predict the roster breakdown for on the 2013 Patriots.  With so much change that has occurred at the position, determining the direction that Pats will go is tough.  In my opinion, this is how the depth chart will stack up in September.  I think that Dobson and Boyce will both make a smooth transition and earn starting spots on the outside, while Amendola is already penciled in as the starting slot receiver.  Julian Edelman makes the team for two reasons: 1) Familiarity with the system and 2) Depth in the slot (although Boyce can play the slot as well.  The position battle to watch here will be between Donald Jones, Michael Jenkins, and newly signed Lavelle Hawkins.  I think Jenkins’ skill set has diminished to a point where he won’t produce on this team.  Hawkins had some issues with coachability and offensive knowledge in Tennessee, which is the recipe for being cut here in New England.  That leaves Jones, who has proven he can produce in the division and has good speed and size.  Slater isn’t going anywhere.  He is a lifer with the Pats.

TIGHT END: 4 (4)

1) Rob Gronkowski

1) Aaron Hernandez

2) Jake Ballard

3) Michael Hoomanawanui

Analysis: The top two spots here are set in stone for the next 5-6 years.  Gronkowski is still dealing with forearm issues, which now has me concerned that he will not be ready for the start of the season.  Here’s my prediction: Gronkowski starts the season on the PUP list in an effort to get that forearm back to 100% (and because they know they can afford to miss Gronk for 6 weeks).  With that said, the Pats are utilizing the two tight-end set more than any team in the NFL, so they are forced to carry 4 (at least) on their roster.  After Gronk and Hernandez, the next two spots are up for grabs.  The Pats made a great move and grabbed an injured Jake Ballard off of waivers from the Giants, and the greatness of that move will be realized this year.  Ballard is a mammoth of a human (6’6″, 275 lbs), but is as a good receiver (2011: 38 rec, 604 yards, 4 TDs) as he is blocker.  The Pats re-signed Hoomanawanui to a one-year, $1.323 million contract this offseason, so I think that gives him a leg up over Daniel Fells for the 4th tight end spot.

OFFENSIVE TACKLE: 4 (4)

1) Nate Solder [LT]

1) Sebastian Vollmer [RT]

2) Will Svitek

2) Marcus Cannon

Analysis: The top two spots here are filled by returning players in Solder and Vollmer.  After that, I see Svitek as a near lock to make the roster considering he is guaranteed to make at least $500,000 this season even if he is cut.  Svitek has the versatility to play both tackle positions and has been a good back-up for several years in the NFL, while also having started 16 games throughout his career.  Marcus Cannon will be the other backup tackle.  Cannon played decently in limited action last year, and should continue to develop this offseason.  Some believe the Pats will look to move Cannon inside to guard, which could shift the depth chart at tackle a bit.

OFFENSIVE GUARD: 3 (4)

1) Logan Mankins [LG]

1) Dan Connolly [RG]

2) Nick McDonald

Analysis: I see the Patriots only needing to keep 3 guards on the active roster for a couple of reasons: 1) McDonald has the versatility to play both guard positions and 2) Cannon can bump inside and play guard as well.  Mankins and Connolly are locks at both starting guard positions, while McDonald has been a good, versatile backup over the last couple of seasons.  Over his career, McDonald has lined up at all 5 offensive line spots, and worked a lot on playing center last offseason.  This is a great advantage for the Pats, considering that they usually only keep one center on the active roster (Connolly has also played center in the past).  Nick’s brother Chris will push him for a spot on the 53-man roster, however I think Chris makes his way onto the practice squad.

CENTER: 1 (1)

1) Ryan Wendell

Analysis: Not much analysis required here.  As mentioned previously, McDonald and Connolly have both played center in the past, so if Wendell happens to go down, the Pats have options.

DEFENSIVE END: 5 (6)

1) Chandler Jones [Right DE]

1) Rob Ninkovich [Left DE]

2) Jermaine Cunningham

2) Justin Francis

3) Jake Bequette

Analysis: For consistency purposes, I am creating this depth chart based on the assumption that the Pats will primarily play a 4-3 defense in 2013.  Obviously, they often switch between defenses, however, I’m projecting all players as they fit into a 4-3.  At defensive end, Jones and Ninkovich get the starting nod, just as they did in 2012.  The battle at defensive end starts with the second string guys.  Unlike some other positions where the second stringers don’t see the field much, back-up defensive lineman are becoming much more important in the NFL.  High-powered passing attacks are forcing defenses to rotate lineman to keep fresh bodies on the field that can get to the quarterback.  For the Pats, pressuring the quarterback is a top priority in 2013.  There will be a battle for the back-up spots at defensive end this off-season.  Jermaine Cunningham showed flashes of the player expected when he was taken in the second round of the 2010 draft.  A 4-game suspension derailed some of that success, however I think his performance last season warrants him making the team in 2013.  Justin Francis went from being an undrafted free agent signing to top back-up performer for the Pats in 2012 (10 tackles, 3 sacks).  Jake Bequette only played in 3 games last year, however he was awarded practice player of the month in October of last season and is expected to make a bigger impact in 2013.  A prospect to watch here is 7th round pick Michael Buchanon.  Buchanon has the athleticism to rush the passer in the NFL, however he needs to ass some bulk in order to hold up in the run game.

DEFENSIVE TACKLE: 4 (4)

1) Vince Wilfork

1) Kyle Love

2) Tommy Kelly

2) Armond Armstead

Analysis: The surprising release of Brandon Deaderick a couple of days ago makes me think that the Patriots have something in one of their young defensive tackles that we don’t know about yet.  Vince Wilfork is considered one of the best defensive tackles in the NFL, and will remain a staple on the New England defensive line for years to come.  I believe that Kyle Love has earned a starting spot on this team.  Love has a Wilfork-like build (6’1″, 320 lbs) and is in the game on 1st and 2nd down to simple take up blockers.  On third down is where Tommy Kelly and Armond Armstead come in.  Kelly is a formidable pass rusher from the defensive tackle position (14.5 combined sacks between 2010-2011) and will hopefully fill a Gerard Warren-like role for the 2013 Pats.  Armstead comes from the CFL through USC.  Armstead had a heart attack as a senior at USC and was never cleared to play college football again.  Therefore, he had to go through the CFL to make his way to the NFL.  Armstead had 44 tackles and 6 sacks in the CFL last year.

OUTSIDE LINEBACKER: 3 (3)

1) Jerod Mayo

1) Dont’a Hightower

2) Jamie Collins

Analysis: Jerod Mayo, one of the NFL’s best inside linebackers, make the transition to the outside in the Pats 4-3 defense in 2012, and seemed to not miss a beat.  Mayo amassed 147 tackles, 3 sacks, 4 forced fumbles, and 1 interception.  Opposite Mayo, 2012 1st round pick Dont’a Hightower had a good first season in New England, ending with 60 tackles and 4 sacks.  I expect Hightower to become a more efficient pass rusher in 2013 and be most effective on first and second down.  Then there is 2013 2nd round pick Jamie Collins.  As mentioned in a previous post, I think Collins can contribute most on 3rd down as a rookie.  As a former safety, Collins has fluid hips as an outside linebacker and should be able to cover backs, tight ends, and slot receivers more effectively than the bigger Hightower (Collins: 6’3″, 250 lbs; Hightower: 6’2″, 270 lbs).  Niko Koutouvides and Jeff Tarpinian, former contributors for the Pats, will be competing primarily with inside linebackers for a roster spot as none of the aforementioned outside linebackers will be released.

INSIDE LINEBACKER: 3 (3)

1) Brandon Spikes

2) Dane Fletcher

3) Mike Rivera

Analysis: 2013 is a huge year for Brandon Spikes.  Spikes is in the 4th year of his rookie contract, and needs to prove he is worth the next contract he will get from either the Patriots of another team.  Spikes has already displayed great run-stopping ability in the NFL.  The problem is that Spikes is considered by some to be a 2-down linebacker.  2-down linebackers don’t usually get big-time money in the NFL.  Dane Fletcher was cementing himself as a good backup and possible future starter for the Patriots before he tore his ACL last season.  The Pats thought highly enough of Fletcher to re-sign him (he was a restricted free agent) this off-season.  Mike Rivera his filled in well for the Pats over the last couple of seasons and will be competing with rookie 7th round pick Steve Beauharnais for the 3rd spot on the depth chart.

CORNERBACK: 6 (7)

1) Aqib Talib

1) Alfonzo Dennard

2) Kyle Arrington [Nickel Corner]

2) Ras-I Dowling

3) Logan Ryan

3) Marquice Cole

Analysis: Unlike 2012, I’m projecting that the Pats only carry 6 cornerbacks in 2013 simply because they are overloaded at safety (and I believe a couple of their safeties could play on the inside at corner).  The Patriots got lucky this off-season when Alfonzo Dennard got sentenced to only 30 days in prison (starting in March 2014).  Dennard will look to build on a successful rookie campaign and start opposite of the $5 million man (Talib) in 2013.  Newly resigned Kyle Arrington played well enough over the past few seasons to earn 4-year $16 million deal this off-season.  Arrington will play, and is most effective in the nickel.  After than, the battle begins.  Logan Ryan is essentially a lock simply because of the position that he was drafted this season.  2013 is a make or break season for Ras-I Dowling.  If he is able to stay healthy and contribute, we may begin to realize some of his talent.  However, another injury may lead to Dowling’s release.  Marquice Cole gets the nod as the 6th corner because of his special teams prowess.  Rookie free-agent Brandon Jones could push for Cole’s roster spot if he proves that he can perform on special teams.

SAFETY: 5 (4)

1) Devin McCourty [FS]

1) Adrian Wilson [SS]

2) Tavon Wilson

2) Duron Harmon

3) Nate Ebner

Analysis: As I mentioned earlier, the Pats have an overload of safeties on their roster.  I project that 5 safeties will make the final 2013 roster, which is one more than last season.  I believe it is time that Devin McCourty makes the official switch to safety.  McCourty has performed well as a part-time safety over the last couple of seasons (although he was basically full-time last year), and it looks like the Pats think he may be a long-term solution at free safety.  I still think McCourty could be a good corner in the NFL, however I don’t get paid to make those decisions.  Adrian Wilson will get the start opposite of McCourty and will provide a physical presence that the Pats have lacked since the Rodney Harrison days.  At 6’3″, 230 lbs, Wilson has lost a step over his career, but McCourty’s responsibility will be to cover, Wilson will be asked to hit.  Behind those two, 2012 second round pick Tavon Wilson earns a roster spot after showing some promise in his rookie campaign (41 tackles, 4 interceptions).  Wilson also has the ability to drop down and play over the slot receiver, which will be useful as the Pats are only keeping 6 corners.  2013 3rd round pick Duron Harmon makes the roster over 2012 starter Steve Gregory.  Gregory was serviceable in 2012, although I think the Pats will decide to move in a new direction in 2013.  Special teams standout Nate Ebner gets the nod as the 3rd string safety due to his special teams ability (him and Slater are essentially the new Larry Izzos).

SPECIALISTS: 3 (3)

PK) Stephen Gostkowski

P) Zoltan Mesko

LS) Danny Aiken

Analysis: No change here from 2012.  The Patriots have brought in 2012 Ray Guy Award winner Ryan Allen to compete with Zoltan Mesko, however I expect Mesko to win that battle.  Some believe Allen may make the practice squad, which speaks to his talent as punters don’t often take up a spot on the 7-man practice squad.

PRACTICE SQUAD: 7 (7)

1)    Michael Buchanon, DE

2)    Matt Stankiewitch, C

3)    Chris McDonald, OG

4)    Brandon Jones, CB

5)    Steve Beauharnais, LB

6)    Jason Vega, DE

7)    TJ Moe, WR

Analysis: At this point in time, practice squad predictions are nearly impossible considering that training camp hasn’t even started yet.  However, in true Mattyoshow fashion, I’m giving it a shot.  Michael Buchanon is a raw talent out of Illinois that needs time in the weight room to bulk up.  I truly think Buchanon will push Jake Bequette for a roster spot at defensive end, but will wind up on the practice squad.  Matt Stankiewitch was a 25-game starter at Penn State at center, and certainly benefitted from Bill O’Brien’s tutelage during his last year at Penn State.  Stankiewitch is determined to learn to play guard in the NFL to improve his versatility and subsequently his odds of making the active roster.  Chris McDonald, younger brother of the aforementioned Nick McDonald, was a 39 game starter for the Michigan St. Spartans and will look to carve a position out at guard in the NFL.  Brandon Jones, yet another Rutgers product, will compete for an active roster spot this season, but will most likely end up on the practice squad.  Steve Beauharnais is an instinctual linebacker that ha a nose for the football.  Beauharnais doesn’t project as a 3-down linebacker, but a year in the weight room could lead to him competing for a roster spot in 2014.  Jason Vega is another CFL product signed this offseason.  Vega is a former Northeastern product (via Brockton) that amassed 66 tackles and 12 sacks in the CFL in 2012.  Missouri product TJ Moe draws comparisons to Welker simply based on his skill set and skin color.  Moe is bigger than Welker (6’0″, 200 lbs), stronger (26 reps at the combine), and maybe even more agile (Combine best 6.53 3-cone drill).  Moe could use a year of seasoning on the practice squad, however in 2013 he could look to replace Julian Edelman on the roster.

AFC East 2013 NFL Draft Grades

Now that I have completely reviewed what the Patriots did in the 2013 NFL Draft in my previous post, I will take a look at each team in the AFC East and review their drafts as well.  I will assign draft grades for each team so we can see how they all stack up.  Many believe (including myself) that you can not determine the success of a draft until after 3 years, however with a lull in football news, this is a way to pass the time.  Let’s do it…

BUFFALO BILLS

Best Pick: Robert Woods, WR USC

Worst Pick: EJ Manuel, QB Florida St.

Analysis: The Buffalo Bills made arguably the biggest splash in the 2013 NFL Draft by selecting EJ Manuel with the 16th overall pick, making him the 1st quarterback selected.  I think that Manuel was the worst pick for the Bills for a couple of reasons.  First, by selecting a quarterback with the 16th pick, you are making the statement that you expect this guy to contribute in the upcoming season.  Whether that means starter in Week 1 or a replacement at some point in the season, EJ needs to make a difference for the Bills to justify that 1st round pick spent on him.  I don’t believe Manuel has the consistency or the refinement in his game to produce for the Bills this season.  Also, the Bills signed Kevin Kolb to a 2 year, $13 million contract this offseason.  Are you really going to pay a guy $13 million to be a backup?  Second, Manuel’s consistency, or lack thereof, isn’t at the level it needs to be to become a productive NFL quarterback.  He has a great arm, good mobility, and elusiveness in the pocket, however his accuracy isn’t always there and he sometimes misjudges how much zip to put on the ball.  That is a recipe for disaster in the NFL.  On the flipside, I think the Bills did a great job of filling out their roster throughout the rest of their draft.  It was a battle for me in regards to the best pick between Robert Woods and Kiko Alonso.  Although undersized, Alonso has unbelievable instincts in both the run and pass game.  The Bills haven’t had a middle linebacker since losing Pauly P a couple of years back.  In the end, Woods got the nod as the best pick because of his raw talent opposite of Steve Johnson.  Much like Johnson, Woods can go deep, but isn’t afraid to go over the middle.  Marquis Goodwin will be a good 4th option at wide receiver.

Grade: B-

MIAMI DOLPHINS

Best Pick: Jamar Taylor, CB Boise State

Worst Pick: Will Davis, CB Utah State

Analysis: Jamar Taylor gets the nod as the best pick for the Dolphins for two reasons: 1) He was a great value pick in the 2nd round and 2) he fills a huge need for the Dolphins.  The Dolphins signed Brent Grimes this offseason, but after losing Vontae Davis and Sean Smith over the past year, they still had a major hole at corner opposite of Grimes.  Taylor is a fast, strong corner that excels in press coverage.  Sounds like a guy that would knock the Patriots’ little receivers off of their routes.  After all, every AFC East team is chasing the Pats.  Will Davis is considered the worst pick because I don’t see the fit in the Dolphins defense.  Davis is tall and not overly quick, which means I don’t see him being very successful in the nickel, which is where he is slotted in the Dolphins scheme right now.  I would be considered crazy if I didn’t address Dion Jordan, right?  Jordan is an athletic freak that is already being compared to Jason Taylor.  Time to pump the breaks Miami!  Jordan isn’t the strongest guy out there, but has much more fluidity in his hips than most 3-4 outside linebackers do.  I don’t think Jordan will be a 15 sack per year guy, but I think he gives the Dolphins a lot of versatility considering he can drop into coverage very easily.  A couple other picks that I really liked were Dallas Thomas, OT out of Tennessee and Jelani Jenkins, OLB from Florida.  The biggest knock on the Dolphins is that they didn’t draft a top-end left tackle.

Grade: B+

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Best Pick: Josh Boyce, WR TCU

Worst Pick: Jamie Collins, LB Southern Mississippi

Analysis: Here’s my bold prediction for the 2013 NFL season, Josh Boyce will be the Patriots’ 2nd most productive receiver, behind Danny Amendola.  Boyce suffered a foot injury supposedly just before the combine, and many believe that caused his stock to drop a bit.  Considering that Boyce ran a 4.38 40 (and put up a very impressive 22 reps on the bench) at the combine, after injuring his foot, should give you some indication that he can run pretty well.  Boyce is fast, strong, physical (5’11″, 205 lbs), and runs great routes.  Sounds like a round 4 steal to me.  My proclamation of Jamie Collins as the worst pick isn’t meant to be a commentary on the type of player that Collins is or will become.  Contrarily, I am critical of the Collins selection because the Pats’ first pick in the draft didn’t address a major need.  Yes, the Patriots could use to improve at rushing the quarterback, and they need some linebackers with better coverage abilities, but wide receiver and cornerback were much bigger areas of need than a rush/coverage linebacker.  Surprisingly, much criticized 3rd round pick Duron Harmon isn’t considered the worst pick because I believe in Belichick’s ability to find gems when he selects these “never heard of” players, and from everything I hear about Harmon’s character and instincts, I think he’ll fit in well with the Patriots.

Grade: B

NEW YORK JETS

Best Pick: Dee Milliner, CB Alabama

Worst Pick: Geno Smith, QB West Virginia

Analysis: I think we were all under the impression that once Mike Tannenbaum got canned, the Jets would cease the ridiculousness.  Well, looks like the Jets are keeping it going for a little longer!  Let’s start with what went right.  Dee Milliner is a stud.  There were concerns about his “5 surgeries” coming out of college.  I am willing to bet my entire bank account (which is exceptionally empty at the moment) that 50% of the players drafted in 2013 have had 5 or more surgeries throughout their career.  College football is evolving more and more into an NFL-like game, meaning players are having routine off-season surgeries nearly every year.  Milliner won’t be Revis (nobody may ever be Revis), but he will slide into the corner spot opposite of Cromartie and compliment Kyle Wilson in the slot.  Sheldon Richardson was another solid pick for the Jets.  His skill set fits very well into a 3-4 defensive end position and will provide some good pass-rush opposite of Muhammad Wilkerson.  Now, on to Geno Smith.  The only way this works is if Mark Sanchez is not a member of the New York Jets once training camp begins.  It will be a Tebow-like distraction all over again.  For every incomplete pass Mark Sanchez throws, there will be 50,000 Jets fans screaming for Geno Smith to come in.  Aside from the media firestorm, Smith doesn’t strike me as a franchise guy both talent wise and mentally.  He crumbled in big games throughout his senior season, and he reportedly hasn’t been the most professional guy throughout pre-draft workouts.  When you draft Geno Smith in the 2nd round, it is assumed that he will eventually take over as the starter, and I just don’t see it.  Aside from Smith, I thought that two huge areas of need for the Jets were at tight end and wide receiver.  The Jets weren’t bad because of their defense (their first 2 picks were defensive players), they were bad because of their offense.  They did little to improve their offense in this draft.

Grade: C

New England Patriots 2013 NFL Draft Review by: “The Better Looking Mel Kiper”

Since the 2013 NFL Draft concluded last Saturday, the New England Patriots have faced a mass of scrutiny regarding their draft philosophy, player selections, navigation of the draft board, etc.  Considering that I am in the middle of final exam week, and when I study I always have talk radio going in the background, I figured it’s about time that I weigh in and drop a little knowledge on the NTCF Faithful.  Let’s do it…

Draft Philosophy:

-I’m not a Belichick worshipper.  I don’t think that every move he makes is uncriticizable.  You can ask my usual draft day crew, I wasn’t high on Jermaine Cunningham.  I ripped them for the Tavon Wilson pick.  Seeing Terrence Wheatley go in the 2^nd round made my blood boil.  I blasted the Patriots for their draft day misses, particularly between 2006 – 2009.  With that said, the Patriots have a philosophy, and they stick to it.  For every Laurence Maroney and Chad Jackson, there is a Matthew Slater and a Julian Edelman.  For every Ron Brace and Darius Butler, there is a Brandon Deaderick and a Marcus Cannon.  Whether or not you like what the Pats do, they are one of the better drafting teams in the NFL.

-This season, the biggest criticisms that I am hearing about the Patriots draft is that they traded out of the 1^st round, they selected Aaron Dobson, and they picked Duron Harmon way too high.  Let’s examine these moves a little more closely.

-Bill Belichick said in a press conference following the draft that, if the opportunity presented itself, the Patriots would have moved out of the first round last Wednesday.  That tells me one thing, they saw no scenario where a player they wanted was going to be available at 29.  They didn’t think they could find an impact player that filled a need at the spot they were supposed to pick in the 1^st round.  So, they went ahead a made what I consider to be the best trade in the draft.  The Patriots received a 2^nd, 3^rd, 4^th, and 7^th round pick from the Vikings in exchange for their 1^st round pick.  When you consider that the Cowboys exchanged 1^st round picks with the 49ers (moving from 18 – 31) and only received a 3^rd round pick in addition, it looks like the Pats made a great move.  The Patriots saw that they had needs to fill, didn’t see a player that they believed was worth 29^th pick value, and instead amassed 4 picks.  I have absolutely no problem with that move.

-Aaron Dobson makes sense.  He isn’t a burner.  He didn’t produce exceptional numbers at Marshall.  He has small hands.  I get it, he has flaws.  But, here’s what I know.  Dobson is a very bright kid that has the physical tools to succeed at the NFL level and the drive and will to get the job done.  This isn’t a Taylor Price burner that has a questionable mental makeup.  This isn’t a Chad Jackson burner that has a questionable mental makeup.  This isn’t a Brandon Tate burner that has a questionable mental makeup.  DO YOU SEE THE THEME?  They believe Dobson can learn their offense and produce.  I love the pick!

-So Mel Kiper, Todd McShay, and all the other draft gurus had Duron Harmon as a 7^th round pick in the draft.  Who cares?  Logan Mankins was supposed to be a 3^rd rounder, Kiper said it was a reach when the Pats plucked him at pick #32 in the 2005 draft.  Several pro bowls later, Belichick won that one!  Chandler Jones was labeled as a “developmental prospect” by McShay and Kiper.  A season after being arguably the Pats’ most effective pass rusher, Belichick wins again!  Sebastian Vollmer wasn’t even invited to the NFL combine.  The Pats took him in the 2^nd round, got crushed by Kiper and company, and the dude winds up being a Pro Bowl tackle.  Belichick wins once again!  The moral of the story is to have faith in a guy that makes a living WINNING NFL football games, not guys that make a living talking about NFL football having never played.

-Now, let’s get into the picks…

Round 2 (#52 Overall) – Jamie Collins, OLB Southern Mississippi

Collins is an intriguing selection for the Pats, considering the talent and draft picks already invested at the linebacker position.  There is confusion surrounding Collins’ position.  Is he a 3-4 OLB, 3-4 ILB, nickel linebacker, or a primary rusher?  Here’s my thought.  The kid started his career at Southern Miss playing safety before moving to linebacker.  He has the feet and quickness to cover tight ends, running backs, and even slot receivers over short distances.  I think the Pats utilize him in a Jerod Mayo type roll, meaning he will primarily play the middle (Brandon Spikes’ contract is up after next season) but has the flexibility to shift outside and rush.  He will begin working mainly in the nickel package, to utilize his coverage skills, but with some seasoning could look to replace Brandon Spikes when he leaves in free agency.

Round 2 (#59 Overall) – Aaron Dobson, WR Marshall

As I mentioned previously, I love this pick.  Aaron Dobson has great size (6’3”, 210 pounds), decent speed (40 yard dash in the 4.4 range), and he is an exceptional route runner.  His production at Marshall wasn’t great, but thankfully you don’t succeed or fail in the NFL based on your college production.  Dobson will slide right in to the starting X receiver position on opening day.

Round 3 (#83 Overall) – Logan Ryan, CB Rutgers

The biggest benefit to Ryan’s game is his aggressiveness in the running game.  Logan has decent size (5’11”, 191 pounds) and good strength for his position (14 reps on the bench).  Ryan doesn’t have great speed (4.56 40 yard dash), but his speed is good enough that he can play slot receivers, and his strength will be a huge asset in knocking inside receivers off of their routes.  Ryan fits well into the Pats scheme at corner.  I expect Ryan to challenge Ras-I Dowling for the 4^th corner spot.

Round 3 (#91 Overall) – Duron Harmon, SS Rutgers

Devon McCourty speaks very highly about Duron Harmon, especially regarding his work ethic and competitiveness.  Harmon is ready to learn from McCourty for the 2^nd time in his life.  Harmon roomed with McCourty as a freshman at Rutgers, and has stated several times that Devin tried to teach him everything possible.  Only a couple of hours after Harmon was drafted by the Patriots, McCourty reach out to him and invited him up to Foxboro to start going through the playbook.  Harmon is supposedly a great locker room guy and has the versatility to play safety, but also drop down and cover slot receivers.  Harmon’s main competition is Stephen Gregory for a roster spot.

Round 4 (#102 Overall) – Josh Boyce, WR TCU

We can be sure about one thing regarding Josh Boyce, he is a physical freak.  At 5’11”, 206 pounds, Boyce ran a 4.38 40-yard dash and put up 22 reps on the bench, both top tier marks for wide receivers at the combine.  Boyce has the capability of playing on the outside and the inside, and could provide some great depth for the Patriots at receiver.  Boyce had great success at TCU with Andy Dalton tossing him the ball, however he struggled this past year due to inconsistent quarterback play and a foot injury.

Round 7 (#226 Overall) – Michael Buchanon, DE/OLB Illinois

Michael Buchanon was expected to pick up where Whitney Mercilius left off for Illinois this past season, however is never really worked out that way.  Heading into this past season, some had Buchanon projected as highly as a 1^st round pick.  An offseason bar fight, leading to an all-liquid diet and a loss of 20 pounds, and a not-so-amazing 2012 campaign all caused Buchanon to drop to the Pats in the 7^th round.  Buchanon needs to get stronger, but he has the talent to stick and could develop into a nice piece for the Pats.

Round 7 (#235 Overall) – Steve Beauharnais, LB Rutgers

There is no better way to describe Beauharnais that simply as an inside linebacker.  He has a nose for the ball.  Athletically, Beauharnais isn’t going to wow anyone.  He doesn’t have great size for the position.  But, Steve knows how to play middle linebacker and it shows on film.  Beauharnais needs to work on his technique and strength, but he is a willing and able special teamer, and could land a roster spot if he shows some improvement this offseason.

Week 6 NFL Picks: Matty O vs. Scottie

Last week Scottie pulled together another strong performance by going 11-3, while I displayed a few lapses in judgement (CAM NEWTON!) and only went 9-5.  That puts Scottie further into the lead for the season at 48-29 while I’m a few games back at 45-32.  Scottie has had the slight edge up to this point, but no more fooling around.  I need that bar tab!  Let’s do it…

I am just awesome.  I win.  Often.  Matty says he suffers from lapses in judgement.  I say he just isn’t able to bring the knowledge like he once did.  He is obviously distracted by something in his life or he simply lacks what it takes to be competitive in this environment.

Steelers @ Titans

Matty: Steelers

Plain and simple on this one.  Steelers are just too talented for Tennessee to keep up with.  Locker or no Locker, Chris Johnson is the true catalyst for the Titans and he has just yet to show up in 2012.  Sorry, CV I just can’t roll with your boys.

Scottie: Steelers

The Titans are relying on Matt Hasselbeck to lead them to victory over the Steelers?  Even without Troy Polamalu the Pitt defense will be too tough for Tennessee.  Rashard Mendenhall looked impressive last Sunday against the Eagles and I expect the Steelers will soon be in the Texans, Patriots, Ravens conversation when it comes to the best of the AFC.

Colts @ Jets

Scottie: Colts

Last week was the beginning of the Andrew Luck era.  He brought his Colts back from a 21-3 deficit and beat the Green Bay Packers.  Reggie Wayne can still play as he totaled over 200 yards receiving.  The Jets are a mess and this will be the Sanchize’s last start before Tebow takes over.

Matty: Jets

The Jets are bad.  The Colts are decent.  Rex Ryan is a defensive genius.  Andrew Luck is a rookie QB.  Even without Revis, I think the Jets somehow find a way to win this one…oh and Tebow gets at least 15 snaps to start his overtaking of Mark Sanchez.

Chiefs @ Buccaneers

Matty: Chiefs

I think the Chiefs are gonna come out with their guns blazing on Sunday.  After the booing of Matt Cassel incident, the players in KC will be looking to grab a victory for their injured starting QB.  Luckily for KC, the Bucs haven’t been overly impressive as of late.

Scottie: Buccaneers

The Chiefs almost pulled the stunning upset over the Ravens last week but Matt Cassel didn’t allow that to happen.  Jamaal Charles is the best back in football right now and it’s too bad all of his talents are going for naught.  The Bucs are coming off a bye week and I love teams that come off bye weeks.  The Chiefs will get an early lead behind a motivated Brady Quinn, but then Quinn will remember who he is, and the Bucs will get the W.

Bengals @ Browns

Matty: Bengals

The trend continues!  Wanting to pick against the Bengals, but with their level of competition I just can’t do it.

Scottie: Bengals

I am holding tight to my “The Browns will go 0-16 this year” prediction even after the Bengals embarrassed me last week by losing to the Dolphins.

Lions @ Eagles

Matty: Eagles

Who knows what the hell is wrong with Mike Vick.  A couple of years ago, the dude was a machine.  Fantasy player like people dream about.  This season, he’s a turnover waiting to happen and absolutely killing my fantasy team.  That being said, I thought the Lions were going to contend this year…maybe not so fast.

Scottie: Lions

An anonymous GM made the statement that the Lions are overrated.  While I generally agree with that assertion, I must say that I expect the Lions to come out pissed off and play with some sort of pride.  It certainly helps the cause when the opposing quarterback is Michael Vick, who turns the ball over more often than not.  Vick reminds me of Matty.  Stud a few years ago. Now, well, just a disappointment.

Raiders @ Falcons

Matty: Falcons

I picked the Falcons to go down last week against RG3 and the Skins.  One RG3 concussion later and I’m licking my wounds.  The Raiders offense is pitiful.  Carson Palmer should re-retire.  Matty Ice takes this one.

Scottie: Falcons

Michael Turner showing signs of life is devastating news for the rest of the NFC.  The Falcons had a high-octane offense when he was running for 1.8 yards a carry.  Now he is actually participating? If only the Falcons defense started to get into gear as well then they would truly be firing on all cylinders.

Rams @ Dolphins

Matty: Rams

This may have to become a trend.  The more that Scottie hates the Rams, the more often I’ll have to pick them.  The Dolphins pulled off an upset of the Bengals last week but let’s be serious.  One word describes the eventual demise of the Dolphins: Tannehill.

Scottie: Dolphins

See, this is where Matty is just a damn fool.  Has he watched Tannehill these past couple weeks?  He has certainly been better than Sam Bradford ever has been in the NFL.  That is a fact. Until Jeff Fisher realizes that Sam Bradford wouldn’t be successful in the XFL let alone the NFL, the Rams will continue to lose.  Last week was a fluke.  And don’t even tell me Bradford was anything close to good because if you do, you’re lying.

Cowboys @ Ravens

Matty: Ravens

The Ravens game last week against the Chiefs was much too close for comfort.  How they won that dreadful 9-6 matchup is beyond me.  Jamaal Charles went off and the Flaccjacket was terrible.  Baltimore poses a great test for the soft Boys.  I just don’t believe Dallas has enough on offense to win this one.

Scottie: Ravens

Matty is right for once.  The Cowgirls are softer than my toilet paper.  The Ravens still feature that smash-mouth type football that everyone loves.  When Flacco doesn’t have it going, the Ravens still have a great defense and Ray Rice can run the ball as well as any back in the League.

Bills @ Cardinals

Matty: Bills

The Cardinals were exposed last week against my boy Bradford.  Everyone was ready to crown Arizona as the next hot team and look at that, the Rams take them out.  With Ryan Williams and Beanie Wells on the shelf, the burden falls on Kolb.  Burden falling on Kolb = Bills victory.

Scottie: Bills

The Bills have been embarrassed the past 2 weeks giving up the most yards of any franchise in 2 consecutive games since 1950.  The Bills will be thrilled to see Kevin Kolb under center come Sunday.  I think the Bills can throw up at least 17 points this week.  That’ll be more than enough to beat the punchless Cardinals.

Patriots @ Seahawks

Matty: Patriots

The Pats seemed to get back on track last week despite Peyton Manning having his best game of the season.  I just think the Pats have too much firepower for the Seahawks defense.  I will be interested to see how well the Pats can stop Lynch up the middle.  That dude is a beast!

Scottie: Seahawks

Yes, I am going to be the most unpopular guy in New England after picking this upset.  I don’t see the Patriots hurry up offense working in a stadium as loud as Seattle’s.  Brady is going to have trouble communicating audibles all game and the Seahawks have the best statistical defense in the league, including a tremendous front 4.  I think they stop the Patriots offense.  I think Marshawn Lynch will have a big game on the ground, and Seattle will come away with the upset of the week.

Giants @ 49ers

Matty: 49ers

The 49ers are in it for revenge against the Giants.  Avenging that loss in last year’s NFC championship game.  I’m not sold on the G-Men, nor will I ever be.  Alex Smith is just good enough to get the victory.

Scottie: 49ers

I love what Harbaugh has done with Collin Kaepernick and the WildKaep offense.  The Giants are banged up and the 49ers are fully healthy.  I have a feeling Manningham torches his old mates and the 49ers avenge their NFC title loss from a year ago.

Vikings @ Redskins

Matty: Redskins

The problem with finishing up these picks on Wednesday is that right now I have no idea if RG3 is going to play or not.  I’m putting my money on the fact that RG3 plays on Sunday, and brings the expectations in Minnesota a little closer to reality.

Scottie: Vikings

Percy Harvin is the best playmaker in the NFL.  He juked the whole Tennessee defense last week en route to a touchdown.  Ponder continues to look good as well.  Suddenly the Vikings look like a favorite to come out of their division this season.  With or without RG3 the Vikings win this game.

Packers @ Texans

Matty: Packers

Hopefully everyone has seen the replay of the play that Brian Cushing got hurt on.  Dirty move right there.  A lot of players around the league are making a good point.  It seems like the NFL is putting a ton of emphasis on protecting the offensive players while leaving defensive players out of the mix.  Those are the types of plays that need to be removed from professional football.  That being said, Rodgers gets the Pack back on track…it’s the return of the Mack (yesss!).

Scottie: Texans

For my fantasy football sanity I hope the Packers win and Aaron Rodgers goes off.  But it just doesn’t feel like that is going to happen.  Greg Jennings and Jermichael Finley have been hurt, Jordy Nelson has been invisible, and the offensive line can’t protect Rodgers with heavy artillery.  Imagine what JJ Watt is going to do on Sunday!

Broncos @ Chargers

Matty: Broncos

The Chargers really surprised me last week by going down against the Saints.  I thought San Diego was ready to run away with the AFC West, but apparently I was mistaken.  As I mentioned previously, Peyton had the best game of the season last week and I expect him to put up similar numbers on Monday night in San Diego.

Scottie: Broncos

Peyton Manning looks healthy to me.  I am getting close to anointing Demaryius Thomas as the 2nd best wide receiver in the NFL behind Calvin Johnson.  If McGahee didn’t kill the Broncos on 2 drives last week, it is entirely possible that everyone would be talking about the Denver Broncos.  Ryan Mathews looked good for San Diego last week, but he isn’t good enough to win a game single-handedly.

I can be followed on Twitter @ScottieNTCF.  If Matty had Twitter you wouldn’t follow him anyway.

Week 5 NFL Picks: Matty O vs. Scottie

I got things back to normal last week going 11-5. Matty also went 11-5.  This leaves him still one game behind me on the year.  I am 37-26 an Matty is 36-27.  Hey Matty, through 4 weeks, how’s my ass taste?

Relax, Scottie.  I’m taking the lead this week.  Let’s do it…

Cardinals @ Rams

Scottie: Cardinals

Matty’s binkie Sam Bradford is sure to get demolished Thursday night by the stifling Arizona defense.  There is a large part of me that wants to pick the Rams here, hell I know they are going to win, but I can’t in good faith pull the trigger.  Bradford sucks and so does Matty.

Matty: Rams

Scottie sucks, so I’m going with my boy Bradford.

Dolphins @ Bengals

Scottie: Bengals

The Bengals have been the beneficiary of a very weak schedule early on.  That trend continues here as they get the Dolphins at home.  I really what Andy Dalton has done for the Bengals this year.  The Bengals will win the games they should and lose the games they should this year.

Matty: Bengals

I keep saying week after week that I want to pick against the Bengals.  Sadly, the keep playing the Scottie’s of the league and beating bad competition.  Dalton beats Tannehill 10 times out of 10.

Packers @ Colts

Scottie: Packers

The Packers were able to rebound from the Monday Night Mayhem to squeak by the Saints 28-27 this year.  They are a Garrett Hartley missed field goal away from being 1-3.  I think that is the game the Packers can build off of and get back to being the Green Bay of old.  I think the Packers blow out Indy.

Matty: Packers

The Pack’s offense got back on track against the Saints last Sunday.  Against the Colts, the Packers D will look to get back on track.  RG3 is getting a lot of the press early in the season as the “Rookie Sensation” but Andrew Luck is performing pretty well in Indy for a guy leading a mediocrely talented team.  That being said, Charles Woodson loves playing rookie quarterbacks.

Ravens @ Chiefs

Scottie: Ravens

It was reported earlier this week that the Chiefs are losing confidence in Matt Cassel.  That shouldn’t be news.  Since Cassel has left New England he hasn’t established himself as a quarterback worthy of starting for an NFL team.  The problem with KC is their other options are Ricky Stanzi and Brady Quinn.  The Ravens get another layup after last week’s victory over Cleveland.

Matty: Ravens

KC > Cleveland.  Baltimore > KC.  In accordance with the man above, Cassel isn’t really getting the job done in KC.  On the other hand, Flacco is being appointed at the next coming on Montana in Baltimore.  I think Flacco is serviceable, but as you could tell from my QB ratings posted last week, I’m not as high on Flacco as everyone else.  The Ravens win this game with Scottie under center.

Browns @ Giants

Scottie: Giants

I said last week that I think the Browns will go 0-16 this year.  I have no reason to stray from that opinion.  While the Giants should be concerned about Hakeem Nicks’ injury,  (The guy reminds me of Samuel L. Jackson’s character in Unbreakable) Ramses Barden has shown he has the ability to step up in Nicks’ place.

Matty: Giants

Gotta disagree with Scottie on this one.  I believe the Browns will go 1-15 this year.  It’s just so damn hard to go 0-16.  The Giants benefit from an easy one this week.  Although, I still hate Tuck and Eli.

Eagles @ Steelers

Scottie: Steelers

This is the hardest game to pick this week.  The Steelers are coming off a bye week and have had time to prepare for Mike Vick and the Eagles.  The Eagles are fresh off a huge Sunday night win against division rival Giants.  I take preparation over momentum.

Matty: Steelers

I correctly picked an Eagles victory last week.  I think Philly has been living too close to the edge to pull one out in Pittsburgh.  Pittsburgh on the other hand, hasn’t looked as sharp as everyone expected.  With Mendenhall returning this week, the Steelers ground game will get on track and Pittsburgh wins this one at home.

Falcons @ Redskins

Scottie: Falcons

I have said it many times and it is finally coming to fruition.  Matty Ice is approaching upper echelon status in the quarterback pantheon.  Did anyone doubt he wouldn’t come back and beat the Panthers with 2 minutes left last week?  Julio Jones’ hand injury is of concern but the Falcons still have Roddy White doing work and Michael Turner made a guest appearance last week.

Matty: Redskins

I don’t know why, I just have a feeling about this one.  I think RG3 takes advantage of a questionable defense in Atlanta.  Matt Ryan does everything he can, but the Redskins win in a shootout.

Seahawks @ Panthers

Scottie: Seahawks

The Seahawks defense will give Cam Newton fits on Sunday.  He is becoming the next Jay Cutler with his ability to sulk, whine, and be moody.  While he is crying on the bench, Marshawn Lynch is going to trample the anemic Panthers run defense to the tune of over 200 yards and lead the Seahawks to victory.

Matty: Panthers

With all the negative criticism surrounding Cam Newton, I think he comes out with something to prove against the Seahawks.  Seattle’s D has been a force to be reckoned with so far this season, but Cam Newton may be just elusive enough to cause them some issues.

Bears @ Jaguars

Scottie: Bears

The Bears were able to pick off Tony Romo 5 times Monday night.  I am afraid to think of what they are going to do to Blaine Gabbert.  Fortunately Gabbert starting looking toward Justin Blackmon last week (10 targets, 6 catches, 48 yards).  That is a connection that must be made if the Jaguars ever want to taste something that could be considered success.

Matty: Bears

I don’t like siding with Jay Cutler and the Bears most of the time.  I don’t like siding with Blaine Gabbert…ever.  The Bears D will limit MJD, and Gabbert has no shot of winning one for the Jags.

Broncos @ Patriots

Scottie: Patriots

I am quick to bask Devin McCourty on my Twitter feed every Sunday.  But I will give credit where credit is due, he actually played well on Sunday.  The Patriots are slowly developing an opportunistic defense behind Vince Wilfork, Brandon Spikes, and Chandler Jones.  I think they will cause problems for Peyton Manning on Sunday.  Manning has the ability to pick apart a defense, but I don’t know if he is physically able to do what he wants after his surgeries.  I think the Pats protect their home turf and leave Sunday with a W.

Matty: Patriots

Peyton Manning seems to be getting better since that disastrous performance against the Falcons.  The Patriots seem to be getting better since that disastrous performance against the Cardinals.  The only thing that scares me about this game is the potential for the Broncos to put consistent pressure on Brady with Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil.  I still think the Pats pull this one out.

Titans @ Vikings

Scottie: Vikings

I really don’t want to say the Vikings are for real just yet.  But Christian Ponder has been a more than serviceable quarterback, Percy Harvin is one of the best playmakers in the NFL, the defense is playing great, and oh yeah they have Adrian Peterson.  Jake Locker won’t play for the Titans Sunday, and I don’t think Matt Hasselbeck has it in him to lead the Titans to a win.  Will Matty share my point of View? (see what I did there?)

Matty: Vikings

I don’t really know who is better for the Titans, Matt Hassleback or Jake “the Locksmith” Locker.  I this game I’m not really sure if it matters.  The Vikings have been a surprise team this season and I think it will continue on Sunday.  I agree with Scottie.  Percy Harvin is a big time playmaker and AP will deliver.

Bills @ 49ers

Scottie: 49ers

The 49ers are fresh off shellacking the Jets 34-0.  The Bills are fresh off of getting smashed by the Patriots.  Ryan Fitzpatrick has shown that he can be forced into throwing a fair amount of interceptions.  I think Patrick Willis will make his life a living hell on Sunday and the 49ers will coast to a 10 point win.

Matty: 49ers

This one is pretty simple.  The Bills allowed 52 points to the Pats and mustered up only 28 points.  The 49ers D is much more stout than the Pats, so I don’t expect this one to be much of a challenge.  Plus with a banged up Spiller and Jackon, the Bills will have even more difficulty scoring points.

Chargers @ Saints

Scottie: Saints

I just can’t see Drew Brees allowing his Saints to lose 5 games in a row.  He threw for over 400 yards last week trying to prevent his team from going 0-4.  I think he will throw for a mile on Sunday Night.  What concerns me is the Saints inability to stop a nose bleed without the incentive to get $10,000 on defense.  I think Brees is always motivated to matchup against his former team.  i believe in Brees.

Matty: Chargers

I said what Scottie said about 2 weeks ago.  I can’t see the Saints going 0 – whatever.  Guess what Scottie, the Saints are 0-4 and they are meeting YOUR new favorite team and quarterback Phillip Rivers.  Yes, I’m sure Drew Brees will throw for 2600 yards in this game alone, but the rest of the Saints team is such a mess I don’t think it matters.  Stick with your team Scottie!

Texans @ Jets

Scottie: Texans

The Jets are now a bigger mess than a college dorm on a Saturday morning.  Revis: out for season.  Holmes: out for season.  Owner wants Tebow to start.  Rex says Sanchez is his guy.  At this point does it even matter who the quarterback is?  The Jets might have the least amount of talent on their roster in the NFL.  Christmas hath come early for the Texans.  I expect to Texans to feast on the weak and annihilate the Jets.

Matty: Texans

The Houston Texans may be the best team in the NFL.  Who ever thought those words would be uttered when David Carr was under center?  The Jets just lost Santonio Holmes for the season with a Lisfranc injury (and yes, I know what that is), but I don’t think it really would have mattered.  The Jets are a ticking time bomb and Tebow will be in there soon.

I can be followed on Twitter @ScottieNTCF.  Matty reads Vogue.

Week 4 NFL Picks: Matty O vs. Scottie

Well last week was pretty freakin miserable.  I went 7-9, while Scottie was on fire going 5-11.  That’s the Scott I know and love.  I can taste that free beer already.  For the season, Scottie has a slim lead at 26-21 to my 25-22.  I expect us both to bounce back this week, but Scottie has no chance of beating me.  Let’s do it…

You want to know who had a worse week than the replacement refs? Me! I am embarrassed.  That is all.

Browns @ Ravens

 Matty: Ravens

The Ravens proved to me on Sunday night that they are the real deal.  Their defense isn’t what it used to be, but Joe Flacco is getting the job done.  Am I ready to say the Flaccmaster is an elite NFL quarterback, like many of the ESPN analysts?  Nope, not even close.  That being said, Flacco does everything the Ravens need him to do for them to be Super Bowl contenders.

Scottie: Ravens

The Ravens will be playing on short rest.  The consolation prize? A lay-up against the worst team in the league.  There is a chance the Browns will go 0-16.

Patriots @ Bills

Matty: Patriots

Well Pats, it’s time to rebound.  A lot of people are saying that they got screwed with that field goal at the end of the game against the Ravens, but honestly they got themselves into that situation when they had the game in hand.  They were up 9 in the 4^th quarter, they should have closed the door.  I expect the Pats to come out strong in Buffalo.

Scottie: Patriots

I think this is the week the Pats get their heads out of their rear ends and get back in the win column.  It is a major help that CJ Spiller is likely out and Fred Jackson isn’t 100%.

 49ers @ Jets

Matty: 49ers

The Jets just don’t look great this season.  They aren’t the same menacing team that would run the ball down your throat and then win a 12-10 game.  With Revis out, the Jets D becomes a question mark, and I still think Sanchez is terribly terrible.  San Fran will be on a mission after their surprising loss last weekend.

Scottie: 49ers

The 49ers were one of many teams to screw me last week.  I forgive them.  Plus, I just don’t think the Jets are even decent this year.  Losing Revis for the season certainly doesn’t help either.  I hate to say it but I think Rex needs to shake things up and put Timmy under center.  Until that happens, I will be picking against the Jets every week.

Seahawks @ Rams

Matty: Seahawks

I know I’ve been on the Sam Bradford bandwagon this season, but if you watched the Monday night game you now know Seattle is for real.  They made Brian Bulaga, the Packers right tackle, look like Scottie out there…threw him all over the field.  Seahawks D wins another one here.

Scottie: Seahawks

Gamby said it best. “Scottie, you know Sam Bradford sucks.  You are 100% right.  Why did you cave?”  You know what? I have no idea.  Sam Bradford does suck.  He has never been, isn’t, and never will be anything close to an effective quarterback.  The Seahawks got to Rodgers 8 times in the first half last week? My God, its going to be Bradford bashing time come Sunday.

Panthers @ Falcons

Matty: Falcons

Atlanta may be the best team in the NFC right now.  The Panthers were projected to build on a mediocre 2011 season and contend for a playoff spot in 2012.  Their schedule has yet to allow them to gain any momentum and it doesn’t look promising again in week 4.

Scottie: Falcons

Cam Newton is proving the sophomore slump myth is a reality.  There are questions now about his mental make-up.  If teams get to him early he becomes a pouty little girl and makes Bradford look like Montana.  I expect Matt Ryan to continue his effective play and the Falcons to run away with this early.

Vikings @ Lions

Matty: Lions

What the hell are the Lions doing.  Messing up 4^th downs.  Blowing games left and right.  Time to get your heads out of your asses.  Minnesota is coming off an impressive win against San Fran, but I can’t see 2 in a row.

Scottie: Vikings

The Lions may be without Matthew Stafford.  The Vikings (statistically) have the best run defense in the league.  I think Shaun Hill will struggle just enough for the Vikings to sneak in yet another win.

Chargers @ Chiefs

Matty: Chargers

The Chargers got absolutely smoked last week against the Falcons while the Chiefs pulled off the upset against the Saints (who may very well be the worst team in the NFL right now).  I expect Scottie’s golden child Philip Rivers and company to have a bounce back game against KC and start to assert themselves as the best team in a bad AFC West.

Scottie: Chargers

First off, Rivers is leaps and bounds better than Bradford.   Second, Jamal Charles had 38 touches last week.  That was outstanding for my fantasy football team.  (Keep in mind I drafted Charles and Matty drafted Michael Turner. How’s that working out?) While its good for me, it is not at all good for the Chiefs.  They have no other offense.  Matt Cassel sucks wearing anything other than Patriot apparel.  Peyton Hillis is hurt.  Can’t see KC winning 2 in a row.

Titans @ Texans

Matty: Texans

I finally go against my man CV’s squad last week and the Lockmaster led Titans make me look stupid by beating the Lions in overtime.  Sorry Tennessee fans, the Texans are a much better team at this point in the season than the Lions.

Scottie: Texans

The Texans are going to be the number 1 seed out of the AFC come playoff time.  A large part of that is how weak of a schedule they play.  Chris Johnson is getting paid about $1 million for every yard rushed since signing his contract last season.  Locker played well last week but they Titans don’t have the talent to compete with Houston.

Bengals @ Jaguars

Matty: Bengals

I keep wanting to pick against Cincinatti, but then I look at their opponent’s and just can’t do it.  Blaine Gabbert has yet to throw a pick in 2012, but he has amassed about as many yards throwing as Scottie has runs in his shorts this season.  Dude is just bad.  MJD I commend your effort, but you have nothing around you man.

Scottie: Bengals

I sat down to eat breakfast yesterday, looked at the back of the milk carton and saw a picture of Justin Blackmon.  He has 4 catches for 31 yards.  Granted that production dwarfs Matty O’s production in high school on the gridiron, but that’s not going to cut it as a top 10 pick in the NFL. Meanwhile Andy Dalton to AJ Green is the next Schaub to Johnson or Stafford to Johnson.  BJGE also is the perfect complimentary back for the Bengals.

Raiders @ Broncos

Matty: Broncos

I’m really hoping that Peyton Manning starts playing like Peyton Manning soon because the ESPN guys need something to talk about other than the refs.  The Raiders are a mess.  Enough said.

Scottie: Broncos

The Raiders continued their Ripken-like streak of screwing me last week. At this point I have no idea what to do or say when it comes to the Raiders.  Where Matty gets off calling the Raiders a mess, I don’t know.  I mean, they did beat the Steelers last week. But hey, to each his own.

Dolphins @ Cardinals

Matty: Dolphins

So apparently the Cardinals are being crowned as one of the best teams in the NFC.  I’m sorry world, but who is their starting QB?  Kevin Kolb?  John Skelton?  Does it even matter?  Yes, the Cardinals beat the Pats.  Yes, the Cardinals beat the Eagles.  Guess what, I don’t care.  My gut tells me they aren’t that good and I’m sticking with it.  Tannehill…you suck.

Scottie: Cardinals

If the Cardinals defense can destroy Tom Brady and embarrass Michael Vick, the sky is the limit when it comes to what they can do to Ryan Tannehill.  Helen Keller can see better than Matty right now.  The Cardinals win football games.  Unlike Sam Bradford.  Don’t be surprised when the Cardinals win their division and host a playoff game this season.

Redskins @ Buccaneers

Matty: Redskins

I believe I saw scrolling across the bottom of ESPN last night that Adrian Clayborn is out for the season for the Bucs.  Tampa’s defense has been playing physical all year, but Clayborn was a big part of that.  RG3 is a natural born leader and I’m sure is giving the Bucs a little angina.

Scottie: Bucs

I still believe in Greg Schiano.  I don’t think RG3 can go down to Tampa and beat a young and hungry Bucs squad.  After losing to the Giants and Cowboys in close games, I think they come out on top here.  I also think Josh Freeman will have a big game.  Isn’t Vincent Jackson mortified about his putrid Week 3 “effort?”

Saints @ Packers

Matty: Packers

How the hell are the Drew Brees led Saints 0-3?  Is it because their head coach is suspended?  Maybe their defense is bad?  Maybe Drew Brees just isn’t as good as everyone thinks he is an benefits greatly from a wide open spread offense?  I’m not sure.  I am sure about one thing, the Packers are a much better team than they showed on Monday night and that will be proven in this game.

Scottie: Packers

If there is one team I do not want to be facing this week, it is the Green Bay Packers.  The fact that they are at home is an added obstacle.  The Packers will be playing with a chip on their shoulder for the rest of the season after the Monday Night Mayhem.   Nobody knows what’s going on with the Saints.  They are quickly becoming the Ain’ts once again.

Giants @ Eagles

Matty: Eagles

Justin Tuck really rubs me the wrong way.  The dude just blabs and blabs about issues that don’t pertain to him.  Tuck, stay out of the Osi-McCoy beef.  It has nothing to do with you.  “I don’t get involved in other peoples beefs until I’m on the field…”  Just shut up dude.  Eagles come back after a bad loss and Vick shows why he is worth $100 million.

Scottie: Giants

Michael Vick has looked like a Matty O all season.  He does not read defenses at all.  Every time I look, he turns the ball over.  Until Vick learns how to read a defense, pick up a blitz, understand coverage schemes, and can check down to other receivers, the Eagles will go nowhere.  The Giants are over their Super Bowl hangover and Eli has become elite.

Bears @ Cowboys

Matty: Cowboys

This is a tough one.  I live by two rules: 1. Never count on Jay Cutler. 2. Never count on Tony Romo.  Well, looks like I’m screwed.  It comes down to this, I have more faith in Tony Romo’s supporting cast (i.e. Miles Austin, Dez, Jason Witten, DeMarco Murray, D-Ware, etc.) than I do in Cutler’s (Michael Bush, Brandon Marshall, Julius Peppers, Urlacher, etc.).  Sticking with the ‘Boys.

Scottie: Cowboys

I echo Matty’s words.  I also can’t stand Jay Cutler.  His binkie (Matt Forte) won’t be back until next week.  I think DeMarcus Ware picks up the role of what every other NFL team does, and beats the crap out of Cutler.  The Cowboys are just a better team than the Bears.

I can be followed on Twitter @ScottieNTCF.  Matty listens to Coldplay.

Week 2 NFL Picks: Matty O vs. Scottie

Scottie smoked me Week 1, nothing more to say.  Let’s do it…

So I took it to Matty pretty good to open up the season.  I went 12-3 while Matt took it on the chin going 8-7.  I am trying a new formula this season.  I am going to stay humble and not take the young pup for granted.  So on to Week 2:

Bears @ Packers

Scottie: Packers

I can’t see the Packers losing twice in a row at home.  I expect Randall Cobb to have a coming out party in the presumed absence of Greg Jennings.  For all you fantasy football players out there, Cobb is the guy to get not Kevin Ogletree.

Matty: Packers

The Pack really disappointed me week 1 with their lackluster effort.  Similarly to what Scottie said, I simply can’t imagine Aaron Rodgers and the Packers going down for a 2nd consecutive week.  That being said, Jay Cutler looks like a confident QB with Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey on the outside.

Cardinals @ Patriots

Scottie: Patriots

Last week I mocked the Cardinals quarterback situation yet they came out and won.  The Patriots defense was very impressive against a young quarterback.  I expect the Patriots defense to give another unproven quarterback fits and TB12 to do his thing.

Matty: Pats

Kevin Kolb was Arizona’s savior in week 1 after John Skelton went down with an ankle sprain.  Sadly for the Cards, they simply aren’t talented enough to keep up with the Pats.  Although, I am looking forward to watching Patrick Peterson play for an entire game.

Chiefs @ Bills

Scottie: Bills

Both teams were destroyed last week.  The Chiefs were beaten by a very good Atlanta team.  The Bills, in essence, beat themselves. I expect the Bills to come out on a mission, pissed off they lost to the Jets, and I expect them to handle the Chiefs on their home turf.

Matty: Bills

The Bills have more bounce-back ability than the Chiefs.  I honestly believe CJ Spiller may be a better fit for that Bills offense than Fred Jackson, but Spiller will have to prove it over an extended period of time.  I expect both Fitzpatrick and Cassel to step up in week 2, but the Bills will come out on top.

Browns @ Bengals

Scottie: Bengals

The Bengals ran into a buzz saw in the Ravens last week.  The Bengals are a lot better than what they showed and they are certainly better than the Browns.  I know the Browns gave the Eagles a run for their money last week but they lost because they are a young team and can’t close out ball games.  Plus, they are without Joe Haden, so I figure AJ Green is going to have a monster day.

Matty: Bengals

Contrary to what Scottie believes, I don’t really believe the Bengals are much better than they showed against the Ravens.  I think the Bengals overachieved last year.  AJ Green is going to have a long season trying to get open against double coverage nearly every play, but it’s tough to be worse than the Browns.

Vikings @ Colts

Scottie: Vikings

The Vikings were able to slip by the Jaguars last week.  Remarkably, Adrian Peterson is not human and is able to play not even a year after destroying his knee.  I believe he is healthy and I believe he will run all over the Colts on Sunday.

Matty: Colts

I didn’t watch one minute of the Colts play last week, but from what I can gather from the stats Andrew Luck didn’t play very well.  I expect Luck to bounce back in week 2, and I think that the Colts D, with Freeney and Mathis on the outside in their new 3-4, will exceed expectations.

Raiders @ Dolphins

Scottie: Raiders

The Dolphins will be this year’s version of the 2011 Colts.  They don’t have any real weapons outside of Reggie Bush.  I was amazed they scored 10 points last week.  It just might be the highest output they have all season.

Matty: Raiders

I agree with Scottie on this one, the Dolphins are terribly untalented.  As I mentioned last week I’m not a big Tannehill fan, but with Brian Hartline as his best receiver, there wouldn’t be much hope for him even if he were Joe Montana.  Raiders ride Run DMC to a win.

Bucs @ Giants

Scott: Giants

I think the Giants were suffering from a Super Bowl hang over last Wednesday.  Josh Freeman isn’t capable of lighting them up like Tony Romo did.  The big concern in New York should be if Victor Cruz was a one year wonder or not.  If he is, they are in significant trouble.  Not enough trouble to lose this week however.

Matty: Bucs

Two things led me to pick the Bucs here.  First, I hate the Giants.  Second, I just love the way the Bucs played against the Panthers.  Tampa Bay took Greg Schiano’s personality onto the field and out-physicaled Carolina.  The Giants lacked physicality against the Cowboys and I think the Bucs expose that again.

Ravens @ Eagles

Scott: Ravens

The Ravens featured a new no huddle offense on Monday night that showed a new dimension of the traditional ground and pound franchise.  Joe Flacco looked comfortable running the new offense.  The Eagles struggled with the lowly Browns.  Any betting man would surely bet that Mike Vick won’t be able to finish this game.

Matty: Eagles

Mike Vick bounces back and exposes the Ravens defense as an aging unit (but damn Ray Lewis and Ed Reed looked really good on Monday).  Flacco looked great against the Bengals, but I’m not sold.

Saints @ Panthers

Scottie: Saints

After the Saints suffered the biggest upset of the week at the hands of RG3 and the Redskins, I fully expect the boys from Nawlins to but a bounty out on Cam and the Panthers.

Matty: Saints

Drew Brees and the Saints won’t be embarrassed like they were against the Redskins for a 2nd consecutive week.  The Panthers are a team that could quickly slip to the bottom of their division and have a tough time climbing out of the cellar.  Hopefully, for my fantasy team’s sake Cam Newton steps it up!

Texans @ Jaguars

Scottie: Texans

Granted it was against the Dolphins, but it sure looks like Andre Johnson is back.  The Texans are the beneficiary of an early cupcake schedule.  I expect them to handle the Jaguars with ease.

Matty: Texans

2012 should be Matt Schaub’s coming out party.  Arian Foster leads one of the league’s best running attacks which takes some pressure off Schaub.  Andre Johnson is a beast.  Those two things alone are enough to win the Jags.

Redskins @ Rams

Scottie: Redskins

Give me one decent reason why I should pick against RG3, Shanny, and Skins after what they did to the Saints last week.  They come to St. Louis on a high facing a Rams team that blew a late lead to the Lions. We saw the energy Cam Newton brought to Carolina last season, I am getting the same vibe from RG3 in Washington this year.

Matty: Rams

St. Louis gave Detroit a run for their money last Sunday, and Jeff Fisher has a team that will battle all season long.  I’m still a big Sam Bradford fan.  He’s proven he can be effective in the NFL.  RG3 certainly made his case that he can be a very good NFL QB last weekend, but I want to see him prove that for another week.

Cowboys @ Seahawks

Scottie: Cowboys

It amazes me how Tony Romo makes #3 receivers look so good.  Look at Miles Austin, Laurent Robinson, and now Kevin Ogletree.  Couple that with the emergence of DeMarco Murray as one of the premier running backs in the league, and suddenly the Cowboys are dangerous again.

Matty: Cowboys

The Cowboys looked terrible last Wednesday, but luckily the Giants looked even worse.  Kevin Ogletree came up big, but I agree with Scottie, Dez Bryant and Miles Austin are still the big time guys in Dallas.  Russell Wilson looks to be an impressive rookie, but the Boys’ defense is too good.

Jets @ Steelers

Scottie: Steelers

The Jets were fortunate enough to have the Bills give them the first game of the season on a platter.  The Steelers are going to be angry they were victims of Peyton Manning last week.  I expect the Steel Curtain will make life a living hell (pun intended) for Sanchez and Tebow.

Matty: Steelers

Pittsburgh exceeded all of my expectations on Sunday night against Denver…just kidding.  Peyton Manning shredded them like the Pats defense in 2006.  Like Scottie said, the Jets were handed win #1 on a silver platter.  Their offense just isn’t explosive enough to continually produce big offensive outputs.  I’m sticking with the Steel Curtain in this one.

Titans @ Chargers

Scottie: Chargers

Chris Johnson couldn’t get it going against the Patriots last week.  If he stumbles out of the gates like he did last week, the Titans are in trouble again.  And like I said last week, I think Phillip Rivers is out to prove something this year.  Once he finds his niche with a receiver watch out for the Bolts.

Matty: Titans

With Ryan Mathews still out, Phillip Rivers is all that San Diego has.  I think Chris Johnson has a breakout week against the Chargers.  Jake Locker looked alright against the Pats, and I’m hoping for some improvement against the Bolts.  This one is for my man CV.

Lions @ 49ers

Scottie: 49ers

I believe in the 49ers, I believe in Harbaugh, and I think this is the year they make serious noise.  I picked them over the Packers last week.  Why shouldn’t I pick them over the Lions?

Matty: 49ers

Sadly for the Lions, who I am expecting to have a solid 2012 campaign, the run into a San Fran team that looks to be better than most of us expected.  the 49ers defense is scary, and their offense may just be good enough to have another solid season.  Unless Calvin Johnson goes off, it’s all 49ers in this one.

Broncos @ Falcons

Scottie: Falcons

Yeah, Peyton Manning is great in domes.  But this 2012 is Matty Ice’s coming out party.  By the end of the season I think people are going to be talking about Calvin Johnson and Julio Jones in the same sentence.  I really like the Falcons this year.

Matty: Falcons

I think the Atlanta Falcons are the real deal this year.  Michael Turner is absolutely killing my fantasy team, but that doesn’t really matter with Matt Ryan slinging the ball all over the field.  Peyton looked good last week, but the Broncos will be put to the test trying to match points with Atlanta.

2012 NFL Week 1 Picks – Scottie vs. Mattyoshow

As a new NFL season has finally dawned upon us, Scottie and I couldn’t resist the temptation of picking games again.  The last season we decided to each enter our picks was 2010.  I pretty much blew Scottie out of the water, but that was to be expected.  Since, Scottie has allegedly refined his craft, spent many months interning under Hank Goldberg, and is now ready to challenge me for the 2012 season.  Scottie, I commend your relentlessness, but you need to realize that once again you have no chance of beating me.  We obviously missed the first game between Dallas and Giants, so that won’t be counted in our final standings.  With that being said, let the picking begin.  By the way Scottie, one night’s bar tab at is up for grabs again this season, with the location to be determined.  Let’s do it…

Less talk more walk from me this year…

Colts @ Bears

Mattyoshow – Bears

I think the Colts have made several good moves this offseason.  Obviously drafting Luck was the first step in the rebuilding process, but I think the Colts will be back in the thick of things earlier than many realize.  The Vontae Davis move also made perfect sense for Indy.  That being said, the Bears finally have given Jay Cutler a legitimate #1 receiver and Matt Forte is a force to be reckoned with.  Even if Brian Urlacher sits this one out, Bears get the win.

Scottie – Bears

Ditka vs. God.  Ditka is God.  Daaaaaa Bears!

Falcons @ Chiefs

Mattyoshow – Falcons

2012 is Matt Ryan’s year.  Everyone expected him to break out big time in 2011 with Roddy White and Julio Jones both on the field.  Ryan disappointed and didn’t have the “elite” type of season that we were expecting.  In my opinion, Jones and White were on the injured list nearly every week last season and although the played on Sunday’s, I doubt they did much practicing.  After a full offseason Ryan is finally ready to explode.

Scottie – Falcons

Julio Jones will be the new Roddy White.  While I have concerns about the Falcon running game, they will still be able to get by the Chiefs.

Eagles @ Browns

Mattyoshow – Eagles

Mike Vick was my first round pick in my fantasy league this year for a reason, I think he’s going to have a huge season (and I had the 12th pick).  With a motivated DeSean Jackson and a consistent Jeremy Maclin running routes, and a formidable running back in McCoy in the backfield, Mike Vick will lead the Eagles to an 11-5 season and a NFC East division title.  The Browns, no matter who plays quarterback, will struggle again.

Scottie – Eagles

The Browns have no weapons other than rookie Trent Richardson.  Not enough to beat the high flying Eagles.

Redskins @ Saints

Mattyoshow – Saints

I love RG3, but then again who doesn’t.  This kid has all of the tools to be a big time quarterback in the NFL.  People compare him to Cam Newton and Vick all of the time, but I believe RG3 is a much more accurate passer than either of those two.  That being said, I think he will experience more growing pains than Luck.  Drew Brees is one of the few players that I believe could operate as a player/coach in the NFL.  The loss of Sean Payton hurts the Saints, but not extraordinarily.

Scottie – Saints

Brees is just too good.

Rams @ Lions

Mattyoshow – Lions

As was very evident in my fantasy draft this year, many believe Matthew Stafford will continue to put up huge numbers this season.  Honestly, I think Stafford takes a step back statistically, but the Lions take a step forward as a team.  I know he is named Megatron for a reason, but if Stafford keeps lobbing up the ducks for Calvin Johnson to grab, the guy is going to get killed.  I believe the Lions offense becomes a bit more balanced by utilizing Mikel Leshoure, Titus Young, and Brandon Pettigrew a bit more, and the defense continues to improve.

Scottie – Lions

Matthew Stafford is living proof the NFL has turned into flag football.  Teams can just air it out nowadays and he has the best receiver in football.

Patriots @ Titans

Mattyoshow – Patriots

Shout out to my man CV for still sticking with the Fisherless Titans, but I can’t see them pulling this one out.  I think Locker will grow into a decent NFL quarterback, but it is going to take some time.  Tennessee’s only shot in this one if for Chris Johnson to go off.  Otherwise, it’s going to be a tough start to the 2012 season for the Titans.

Scottie – Patriots

I am not as confident as most Patriots fans seem to be.  The Titans could pull this out if they keep TB12 off the field.  But in the end I don’t think they’ll be able to do it.

Jaguars @ Vikings

Mattyoshow – Vikings

Nothing like a battle between two pretty bad teams to get the fans in Jacksonville and Minnesota really excited!  The news that MJD won’t start this week basically seals the deal on this one.  I like what Christian Ponder did last season, but I’m still not sold.  A banged up Adrian Peterson and an often utilized Percy Harvin get the job done for the Vikings.

Scottie –  Vikings

Who cares? MJD and AP will be limited leaving the battle of 2nd year quarterbacks in what will sure to be the snoozer of the weak.  Heads Vikings Tails Jaguars… Vikings it is.

Bills @ Jets

Matty0show – Bills

From my point of view, the Jets are a complete disaster.  They willingly created a quarterback controversy between God and their already self-esteemless starter, they resigned the receiver who ripped the entire team last year, they just traded for a huge 1st round bust in Jason Smith, and Rex Ryan becomes less lovable with every pound he loses.  I think the Bills are out to prove that they can hang in the AFC East this year, and nothing says that more than Mario Williams knocking Mark Sanchez out of the game en route to a Buffalo victory.

Scottie – Jets

Tebow is going to replace Sanchez in the 4th quarter and lead the Jets in a come from behind win because that’s what Tim Tebow does. Prayers and Football!

Dolphins @ Texans

Mattyoshow – Texans

After watching Hard Knocks, it’s pretty clear to me that Joe Philben has absolutely no control over his team.  He reprimanded Chad Johnson for swearing at his press conference by never even talking about swearing at his press conference…doesn’t make sense to me.  In my eyes, Tannehill doesn’t get the job done.  I just can’t see this kid as a success in the NFL.  Also, beginning your career against a scary Wade Phillips defense doesn’t help.

Scottie – Texans

I can’t think of a team that has an easier schedule than the Texans this year.  They open up the 2012 campaign with a gimme.

Seahawks @ Cardinals

Mattyoshow – Seahawks

Ken Whisenhunt is screwed, plain and simple.  The Cardinals sent draft picks, their best defensive player, and 25 pounds of shaved steak to Philly for a complete bust of a quarterback.  Now they have this big doufus from DIAA ready to take them to the playoffs.  Good luck Arizona!  The Seahawks defense wins this one, even though I love Russell Wilson.

Scottie – Seahawks

Matty O’s sister is playing quarterback for the Cardinals.

49ers @ Packers

Mattyoshow – Packers

Now this game is more like it!  Arguably the league’s best defense taking on arguably the league’s best offense in week 1.  What more can you ask for?  As much as I love Pat Willis and crew over there in San Fran, I don’t think their offense can give them enough support to over take the Pack, especially at Lambeau.  The Packers defense will recover from a rough 2012 campaign, and as scary as it may sound, Aaron Rodgers will continue to improve.  The Pack take this one, but it will be too close for comfort.

Scottie – 49ers

The 49ers are the most balanced team in the league.  They have an outstanding defense and their offense is efficient under the underrated Alex Smith.  I love what Harbaugh has done with Singletary’s boys and I think this is the year the Niners get back to playing football in February.

Panthers @ Buccaneers

Matty0show – Panthers

Cam Newton’s sophomore season is almost underway.  The man who amazed NFL fans as a rookie in 2011 looks to improve upon his performance in year 2.  I think Cam will have a little tougher of a ride in 2012 simply because defenses will be putting much more emphasis on containing him in the pocket and avoided giving him big yardage on runs.  That being said, DeAngelo Williams and John Stewart are nothing to sneeze at in the backfield, and I love Luke Kuechly in the middle of that defense.

Scottie – Panthers

I have zero reason to go against Cam Newton in this one.

Steelers @ Broncos

Mattyoshow – Steelers

If Tebow could do, than why can’t Peyton?  The Broncos will be much improved from last season, but can Peyton Manning really be Peyton Manning without Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, and Dallas Clark?  I’m not trying to say that Peyton isn’t great, because he’s one of the best to ever play, but his supporting cast in Denver isn’t nearly what it was in Indy.  The key to the 2012 season is the Broncos run game.  If McGahee has a solid season, the Broncos make the playoffs, if not Peyton will be calling for some receivers that can actually play.

Scottie – Broncos

It’s the return of Peyton Manning.  Of course he is going to win.

Bengals @ Ravens

Mattyoshow – Ravens

I’m pretty sure that the knock against the Ravens for the past 5 seasons is that they are getting old.  Well, they keep on winning so I’m not even entertaining that thought.  Ray Rice will carry this team as far as it goes.  Joe Flacco is mediocre at best, but with a defense that good, does he really have to be more than that?  I don’t think so.  Torrey Smith it looking to have a breakout year, while on the other sideline AJ Green will be fighting through double and triple coverage all season.  I think 2012 may be a tough year for the Bengals, whereas the Ravens will be right in the playoff hunt.

Scottie – Ravens

Even without T Suggs I think the Ravens D will give Andy Dalton all he can handle and more.

Chargers @ Raiders

Mattyoshow – Raiders

This is probably the toughest game to pick from week 1.  I don’t like either of these teams.  The Raiders are led by a washed-up Carson Palmer, Run DMC is hurt nearly every week, and Darrius Heyward-Bey is arguably their best receiver (yes, I just threw up a bit in my mouth).  On the other sideline, it’s not much better, Philip Rivers will be throwing to Pete Carlone all season, Antonio Gates is getting old, and Ryan Mathews may be the only player in the NFL hurt more often than Run DMC!  The Raiders defense gets the job done in this one.

Scottie – Chargers

Phillip Rivers is a man on a mission this year.  He needs to prove he is a top flight quarterback and not just a fantasy football prize.  I always hate on the Raiders, so why stop now?

Mumbles Therapy

Today is only Wednesday and it has already been one of the longest weeks I’ve ever experienced.  The best therapy is for me to just rant about subject matter that I feel I know best: the world of sports.  Beware here comes a slew of unorganized thoughts better classified as Mumbles.

*Chris Paul will be traded before Christmas 2011.  New Orleans does not want to go through the “Melodrama” the Nuggets went through last year.  With all the leaks about the Celtics wanting Paul, it would be in their best interest to acquire the best point guard in the league by any means necessary.  The Celtics current point guard Rajon Rondo is very talented but is beyond emotionally fragile.  He broke down last year when his BFF Kendrick Perkins was traded.  He broke down when he was “dissed” by President Obama.  Now the Celtics are reportedly (by every media outlet) pursuing Paul.  If the Celtics fail at acquiring Paul, they will be in for a very long and very uncomfortable season with Rondo running the show.  Get Paul now, worry about his contract status later.

*The Miami Marlins (have to get use to saying that) have been the biggest players in baseball free agency thus far.  They landed Jose Reyes, Heath Bell, and Mark Buehrle.  They are also in hot pursuit of Albert Pujols.  While this appears to be great news for South Florida, they have alienated their franchise player in Hanley Ramirez.  HanRam has reportedly asked for a trade because does not want to move to third base for Reyes.  If I am the Red Sox, I make a strong play at reacquiring the troubled shortstop.  He comes with baggage. There is no doubt about it.  But at the end of the day he is 27 years old coming off his worst season but entering his prime.  He is under contract until 2014 at a reasonable price (3 years $46 mil left).  He is a clear upgrade over Marco Scutaro or Jed Lowrie.  If I am Ben Cherrington, I offer Lowrie or Scutaro, Xander Bogaerts or Jose Iglesias, Ryan Kalish or Josh Reddick, and Matt Barnes or Anthony Ranuaudo.  Imagine this lineup:

Ellsbury, Crawford, Pedroia, Gonzalez, HRamirez, Youkilis, Ortiz, Saltalamacchia, Kalish/Reddick.

*The Boston Bruins benched Tyler Seguin last night during a 15 game unbeaten streak due to him missing a team breakfast in Winnipeg.  Now, I may be in the minority but I love that they benched the 19 year old leading scorer.  Nipping any antics that Seguin may be a part of in the bud is essential in his early development.  It’s clear to me that his benching has a lot more to it then missing his team breakfast.  His excuse will also go down as the worst excuse in sports history.  ”My clock was set on Boston time and not Winnipeg time.” Tyler may need a geography/time zone lesson to go along with that benching.  What we all need to remember is that the kid is 19 and he hasn’t had a chance to experience the night life like we all did in college.  I cut him some slack but at the same time applaud the management and coaching decision to discipline him.

* I once hated Tim Tebow with a unparraleled passion.  I think that was because I was an ignorant Longhorns fan that would hear nothing other than Colt McCoy was the best there was.  (In my defense he is the all time winningest quarterback in NCAA history). But after the last two months, how do you not love Tebow? Yes, the whole God squad thing can deter someone but as an athlete? The guy has “it.” Whatever “it” may be Tebow has it.  He wins football games and is exciting to watch.  Yes, I am all aboard the Tebow wagon!

*Unfortunately I don’t have any thoughts on the Patriots.  To me they are the most vanilla franchise in Boston sports.  It may be a reflection of the coach.  They win ball games and move on to the next opponent.  Until the playoffs, there is nothing I can really say about them.

*I love Ed Cooley.  When Providence College first hired him, I was skeptical at best.  My hatred of Keno Davis and his thug culture may have angered me to the point I was blind.  But there truly was no better person to hire for this position then who they landed.  Cooley has demonstrated a willingness to play defense (unthinkable during Keno’s time) and also to discipline players when needed.  (Kadeem Batts is yet to play a game.  Expected back for the URI game 12-23).  I have gone to as many games as I’ve could and have appreciated the development of Bryce Cotton.  I like that Vincent Council is playing under control.  I like that Cooley has Coleman playing defense.  I understand that the Friars may get smoked once the Big East schedule starts.  But I expected that coming into the season.  But because of Cooley, I now know they will play hard for 40 minutes every night.

*I can be followed on Twitter @ ScottieNTCF

AFC East Free Agency Forecast

As with the NFL, and most recently the NBA, I have locked myself out of writing any posts for an extended period of time. However, with all of this hullabaloo (yea I said it) seemingly coming to an end with the NFL, I figured I would share some of my feelings with you.  You will have to keep in mind the whole restricted/unrestricted thing may change with a new CBA and some guys that I may list could be off limits. 

That being said The AFC East seems to be getting more competitive. The Jets are making a run of becoming the Eagles of this decade by losing two consecutive conference championships in a row. The Patriots still have Tom Brady and the young defense is starting to get it. The Dolphins defense looks to be even better this coming year and if they had a clue on offense could contend. The Buffalo Bills are no longer a scheduled win on the schedule and have a lot of young talent to steal some wins away.  Today I will be focusing on the offensive side of the ball and give you some names to look out for.

It would seem that there would only be two teams in the market for a quarterback, however the Bills seem to be standing by Fitzpatrick and in my opinion it’s the best move that Gailey has made since he’s been there.Miamiwill most likely be looking to land a veteran, some names I could see ending up inSouthBeachwould be Carson Palmer, Vince Young, Matt Hasslebeck, and possibly Mcnabb. I think the best fit would be Palmer however both he and Mike Brown seem to be sticking to their guns. I can’t see Palmer retiring and for the right price I think Brown would pull the trigger. Bottom line, Henne will probably start next year andMiamiwill run the ball about 60 times a game.

The running back position will probably see the most movement especially in this division.New Englandneeds more balance and an injection of some youth in the backfield. The law firm was great last season but with Fred Taylor and Sammy Morris applying for social security and Kevin Faulk most likely retiring, they need one or two guys to fill the void. The Jets simply cannot rely on LT and Shonn Greene to shoulder the load. They drafted McKnight out of USC last year and he struggled getting into the offense.Miami, similair toNew Englandneeds one or two backs. They drafted Daniel Thomas out ofKansasStateand the remaining backs from their roster are all free agents (Ronnie Brown, Ricky Williams, Patrick Cobbs, Lex Hilliard).Buffaloseems to be the most stable at the position and may add someone to replace Fred Jackson

DeAngelo Williams is the biggest name and best buy in my opinion. I have sources (I really do) that have reported that Williams bought a home inMiami….coincidence? Probably, if I had the money I would have a home inSouthBeachtoo. That being saidMiamihas spent the most money in free agency almost every offseason in the past five years and I have a feeling Williams will end up inMiami. Another big name that will have some rumors swirling around it will be Reggie Bush. All signs point to the Saints moving on and you can’t tell me that a coordinator wouldn’t be able to find use for him.  Look for a Darren Sproles sighting in the AFC East next year as well. I could seeNew Englandlanding either player. Both can catch the ball out of the backfield and have the explosiveness that the current wide receivers are lacking. Ahmad Bradshaw would also be a good fit for the Patriots as well with his downhill running still. The Jets may want the players I just listed as well as any of the Ricky and Ronnie duo from the Phins. I could seeBuffalotaking a flyer on a guy like Mike Tolbert or Michael Bush to replace the hard nose runner they may be losing with Fred Jackson’s possible departure.

The wide receiver position will be interesting. The Jets would be dumb to not re-sign Santonio Holmes and they would be just as smart to re-sign Braylon Edwards. Edwars catches a lot of criticism and rightfully so, for his dropoff after his monster 2008 season. However towards the end of last season he came around. His catch against Indy was huge and if he does become a free agent he would command some decent cash from teams.New Englandcould be looking to add the stretch the field asset they once had with Randy Moss. Could that be Vincent Jackson? If so, there is no reason this team couldn’t make another Super Bowl run.MiamiaddedMarshalllast season and also drafted the speed guy they were lacking in Edmund Gates. They probably won’t be making a move for a wideout, however there has been some politicking going on from Brandon Marshall to add his best friend and ex-college teammate Mike Sims-Walker.Buffaloneeds another guy to help out Steve Johnson and lee Evans. They could be in the market for a guy like James Jones from Green Bay who I think is a poor mans Brandon Marshall, he is a big physical receiver just not a lot of speed.

I don’t see a lot of big time tight ends going anywhere. I also don’t see a huge need for the position within the division.New Englanddrafted a great pair with Gronkowski and Hernandez and should be set. The Jets have Dustin Keller and don’t use him enough in my opinion. The Dolphins could certainly use an upgrade at the position to help free up Fasano from blocking all the time. The Buffalo Bills have a number of young guys and could definitely bring in a guy like Owen Daniels who may move on from the Texans.

Offensive line will be interesting in this division. The biggest story will be what will happen with Logan Mankins. IfNew Englandparts ways with him depending on if they can and will franchise him again they have an issue in the middle of that line. They are very strong on the outside with Volmer and the new giant Solder on the other side. Light may resign for a hometown discount, but I’m not sure either side will be keen on that. The Jets lost Damien Woody and both Rex Ryan and Tony Sparano would love to add the high priced guard. If Mankins is off the table look forMiamito go after Davin Joseph hard. Carl Nicks, Ryan Kalil, and Harvey Dahl are all quality guys that again may or may not be available.  I’m not sure ifBuffalowould be in the bidding for Mankins but they could certainly use a tackle. The best options at Tackle are Tyson Calbo, Jared Gaither, and Doug Free. Who knows,Buffalocould keep Matt Light in the division and let Cameron Wake abuse him some more. Center is pretty solid in this division,Miamidrafted Pouncey to be their center in the first round of the draft  and the other teams in the division are pretty decent up the middle. If they wanted to upgrade they could try to pick up Olin Kruetz or Samson Satele, howeverMiamishipped Satele out of the division because he couldn’t handle the big nose tackles like Wilfork and Jenkins.

The Bills and Dolphins need the most help offensively ranking 28^th and 30^th in scoring offense but that doesn’t mean New England and New York won’t snag some of the players that I’ve listed. All four teams can improve in certain areas and it seems that we will soon be finding out who is going where.